Cloudflare (NET) Stock Declines Due to Tariff and Piracy Concerns

Author's Avatar
Feb 19, 2025
Article's Main Image

Cloudflare (NET, Financial) shares experienced a 4.87% decline today, closing at $160.59. This drop came amidst concerns surrounding new tariffs on foreign semiconductors and a legal dispute involving allegations of piracy.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign semiconductors, automobiles, and pharmaceuticals has raised concerns about increased operational costs for Cloudflare, which relies heavily on semiconductor imports for its technology infrastructure. The tariffs could potentially rise above 25% within the year, putting further pressure on the company's expenses.

Moreover, Cloudflare's ongoing legal battle with LaLiga, Spain’s top soccer division, adds another layer of complexity. LaLiga has obtained a court order to block IP addresses linked to alleged piracy through Cloudflare's infrastructure. This legal entanglement poses potential regulatory hurdles and uncertainties for the company.

From a valuation standpoint, Cloudflare's (NET, Financial) market capitalization stands at $55.38 billion. Despite recent challenges, its financial metrics present a mixed outlook. With a Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio close to a 2-year high at 34.52, the stock appears to be on the higher valuation end. Its strong Altman Z-score of 16 suggests financial robustness, however, the GF Value indicates that the stock is "Significantly Overvalued" with a GF value of $105.26 GF Value.

Investors should also note that Cloudflare's (NET, Financial) revenue growth over the past years has been strong, with a 5-year average growth rate of 25.3%. However, the company faces challenges, evidenced by a severe warning sign of Asset Growth outpacing Revenue Growth. Additionally, insider selling activity was noted with 694,023 shares offloaded over the past three months.

On the positive side, Cloudflare's (NET, Financial) operating margin is expanding, a positive sign for profitability. The Beneish M-Score indicates that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator, maintaining a good reputation for financial reporting integrity.

Overall, while Cloudflare (NET, Financial) shows promising financial strength and growth potential, prospective investors should consider the current overvaluation and potential impacts of external economic and legal challenges.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.