AAON Inc (AAON) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges and Seizing Growth Opportunities

Despite a dip in sales and profit margins, AAON Inc (AAON) showcases strong backlog growth and strategic investments for future expansion.

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Feb 28, 2025
Summary
  • Net Sales: Down 2.9% to $297.7 million from $306.6 million.
  • Gross Profit: Decreased 30.5% to $77.6 million; gross profit margin at 26.1% compared to 36.4% in 2023.
  • SG&A Expenses: Increased 0.7% to $48.2 million; SG&A as a percentage of sales increased to 16.2% from 15.6%.
  • Diluted Earnings Per Share: Decreased 46.4% to $0.30 per share from $0.56 per share.
  • Cash and Debt: Cash equivalents and restricted cash at $6.5 million; total outstanding debt at $154.9 million.
  • Working Capital: Increased to $313.3 million from $282.2 million.
  • Capital Expenditures: $99.3 million in Q4; total $213.2 million for 2024, up 94.7% from 2023.
  • Backlog: Year-end backlog up 70% to $867.1 million.
  • Basics Brand Sales: Up 35.1%; data center equipment sales up approximately 85%.
  • Aaon Oklahoma Segment Sales: Decline of 16.1%.
  • Aaon Coil Product Segment Sales: Growth of 129.9%.
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Release Date: February 27, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • AAON Inc (AAON, Financial) reported a significant increase in bookings, up approximately 62%, and a year-end backlog increase of 70% to $867.1 million, driven by strong demand for data center equipment.
  • The Basics brand experienced robust growth, with net sales up 35.1% and data center equipment sales up approximately 85%, indicating strong market demand and execution.
  • AAON Inc (AAON) is well-positioned for future growth with a strategic focus on innovation and customization, particularly in data center solutions and advanced heat pump technology.
  • The company has made significant investments in capacity expansion, including a new facility in Memphis, which is expected to support long-term growth and operational efficiency.
  • AAON Inc (AAON) maintains a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 0.57, providing financial stability and flexibility for future investments.

Negative Points

  • AAON Inc (AAON) faced challenges in the fourth quarter, with net sales down 2.9% and a significant decline in gross profit margin from 36.4% to 26.1%, primarily due to lower volumes and fixed cost deleveraging.
  • The Aaon Oklahoma segment experienced a decline of 16.1% in sales, impacted by the refrigerant transition and weaker non-residential construction activity.
  • The transition to the new 454b refrigerant caused a temporary lull in demand, leading to production slowdowns and margin degradation in the Aaon Oklahoma segment.
  • The company anticipates continued cost pressures in the first half of 2025 due to ramp-up costs at the Memphis facility, which will impact segment profits.
  • Operational inefficiencies and capacity constraints at the Redmond facility have resulted in subpar margins, with improvements expected only gradually throughout 2025.

Q & A Highlights

Q: What is the outlook for Oklahoma sales in the first quarter, and is the inventory of R410 a factor?
A: Gary Fields, CEO, explained that the impact of R410 inventory is significant. Although bookings were strong at the end of the year, the lead time means that accelerated bookings will only start impacting the plant floor towards the end of the first quarter. The transition to 454b refrigerant is taking time to gain momentum.

Q: Why were Basics sales down despite a strong backlog?
A: Matthew Tobolski, COO, clarified that the Basics segment, as reported, reflects production limitations at the Redmond facility. The demand and backlog for Basics branded products remain strong, but capacity constraints at Redmond are throttling sales.

Q: Can you elaborate on the mid-teens to high 10s growth outlook for 2025?
A: Tobolski noted that while there is strong growth expected in the data center segment, the Oklahoma segment's performance is offsetting this. The first quarter is starting weaker due to seasonality and backlog conversion timing, and there is uncertainty in the commercial market recovery.

Q: What is the current capacity for data center revenue, and when will the Memphis facility be operational?
A: Tobolski stated that the combined capacity of Redmond, Longview, and Memphis facilities will support a $1 billion revenue target in the data center segment. Memphis is expected to have a meaningful financial impact by Q4 2025.

Q: How is the demand for denser data centers impacting liquid cooling solutions?
A: Tobolski explained that higher density compute in AI and machine learning is driving demand for liquid cooling. Even in liquid-cooled data centers, significant airside cooling is still required, supporting growth in both cooling methods.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.