Astrana Health (ASTH) Stock Declines After Disappointing Earnings

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Feb 28, 2025
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Astrana Health (ASTH, Financial) shares experienced a significant downturn, falling by 27.47%, after the company released disappointing fourth-quarter results. Current trading reflects a price of $25.16, a notable decline amidst investor reactions to the earnings report.

The primary factors behind this sharp drop include Astrana Health's failure to meet its full-year EBITDA guidance, alongside an EPS that did not align with Wall Street's expectations. Despite these hurdles, the company managed to surpass revenue predictions, primarily driven by almost doubling the sales in its Care Partners segment.

Looking at the financial data, Astrana Health (ASTH, Financial) has a market capitalization of $1.15 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.35. The stock is currently trading significantly below its 52-week high of $63.20, reflecting ongoing market volatility and investor skepticism about the company's future profitability.

Notably, Astrana Health is considered "Significantly Undervalued" based on its GF Value, which stands at $62.30. This suggests a potential upside opportunity for investors who believe in the company's long-term growth prospects. For more details, visit the GF Value page.

Despite the current setbacks, Astrana Health has some financial strengths. The company's Altman Z-Score is strong at 3.44, indicating financial stability, and the Beneish M-Score suggests it is unlikely to be a manipulator. However, the company continues to face significant challenges, including a long-term decline in gross and operating margins and ongoing issuance of new debt.

Looking forward, Astrana Health projects a revenue growth of at least 28% for 2025 but acknowledges this is a decrease compared to previous years. The company's ability to navigate these financial obstacles will be crucial in restoring investor confidence and achieving sustainable growth.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.