PageGroup PLC (MPGPF) (Q4 2024) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic Growth

Despite a decline in profits, PageGroup PLC (MPGPF) demonstrates resilience with increased dividends and strategic investments.

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Mar 07, 2025
Summary
  • Gross Profit: GBP842.6 million, down 12.8% in constant currencies against 2023.
  • Operating Profit: GBP52.4 million, down from GBP118.8 million in 2023.
  • Conversion Rate: 6.2%, compared to 11.8% in 2023.
  • Earnings Per Share: 9.1p.
  • Net Cash: GBP95.3 million, up from GBP90.1 million at the end of 2023.
  • Final Dividend: Proposed increase of 4.5% to 11.75p per share.
  • Total Dividend: 17.11p per share, including interim dividend.
  • Fee Earner Headcount: Reduced by 8.2% from 5,851 in Q4 2023 to 5,370 in Q4 2024.
  • Cost Base Reduction: GBP100 million less than in 2023.
  • Tax Charge: GBP20.7 million, effective tax rate of 42.1%.
  • Net Assets: Decreased by GBP306.5 million to GBP262.4 million.
  • EBITDA Inflow: GBP119 million.
  • Gross Profit by Region: EMEA down 13.4%, Americas down 9.9%, Asia Pacific down 17%, UK down 16.2%.
  • Technology Gross Profit: Non-permanent recruitment represented 41% in 2024, up from 36% in 2023.
  • Page Executive Growth: 7% increase, record year globally.
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Release Date: March 06, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • PageGroup PLC (MPGPF, Financial) ended the year with a strong financial position, boasting net cash of GBP95.3 million, up from GBP90.1 million in 2023.
  • The Board proposed an increase in the final dividend by 4.5% to 11.75p per share, reflecting confidence in the group's strategic opportunities and balance sheet strength.
  • Despite challenging market conditions, Page Executive delivered standout results with a 7% growth, marking a record year globally.
  • The company made significant progress in its social impact goal, changing over 130,000 lives in 2024, contributing to a total of over 640,000 since 2020.
  • PageGroup PLC (MPGPF) maintained high productivity levels, with gross profit per fee earner down only 1.7% from 2023, significantly above pre-pandemic levels.

Negative Points

  • Gross profit for 2024 was GBP842.6 million, down 12.8% in constant currencies compared to 2023, due to challenging trading conditions.
  • Operating profit decreased significantly to GBP52.4 million from GBP118.8 million in 2023, with a conversion rate drop from 11.8% to 6.2%.
  • The company faced ongoing challenges in converting interviews to accepted offers due to macroeconomic uncertainty impacting candidate and client confidence.
  • The EMEA region, representing 55% of the group, saw a gross profit decrease of 13.4% in constant currencies, with market conditions weakening in the second half of 2024.
  • The effective tax rate increased to 42.1% due to the derecognition of overseas losses, with an expected rate of around 35% in 2025.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide insights into the sentiment across different regions, particularly in January and February, and discuss the performance of enterprise clients?
A: Nicholas Kirk, CEO, explained that the sentiment in January and February mirrored the conditions seen in Q4 2024, with no significant changes. While permanent recruitment remains challenging, non-permanent activity levels are robust. Regarding enterprise clients, Kirk noted that strategic investments and a focus on global partnerships have led to better performance, as larger organizations prefer partnering with global recruiters for efficiency and cost-effectiveness.

Q: Are clients becoming more flexible in their hiring criteria, and how might AI influence this? Additionally, what are your thoughts on opportunities in the defense sector?
A: Nicholas Kirk, CEO, stated that clients are not showing increased flexibility in hiring criteria, often seeking the ideal candidate due to budget constraints. AI is being used to identify hard-to-find candidates but is not yet effective in subjective decision-making. Kelvin Stagg, CFO, mentioned that while direct exposure to defense is limited, there is potential for growth in related industrial sectors.

Q: Can you provide more details on Page Executive's investment focus and its role in the current market?
A: Nicholas Kirk, CEO, highlighted that Page Executive is positioned in a market gap below top executive search firms, offering significant opportunities across various regions. The business has seen growth, particularly in technology roles, and benefits from a retained fee structure, which ensures revenue even if a hire is not made. The necessity to fill senior roles quickly also drives demand.

Q: How does the fee structure in Page Executive compare to other segments?
A: Nicholas Kirk, CEO, confirmed that fee rates in Page Executive are higher than those in Michael Page due to the executive level of the roles being filled.

Q: What are the strategic goals and progress of PageGroup?
A: Nicholas Kirk, CEO, outlined the strategic goals of delivering GBP400 million in operating profit, changing 1 million lives, and increasing the Net Promoter Score. Despite challenging market conditions, progress is being made, with over 640,000 lives changed since 2020 and a client Net Promoter Score of 61 achieved.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.