Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Stock Is Falling Today

Author's Avatar
Mar 10, 2025

Intuitive Machines (LUNR, Financial) experienced a significant drop today, with shares falling by 22.92%. This decline follows the announcement of a failed lunar mission, causing investor concern about the company's future prospects.

The steep fall in LUNR stock is largely attributed to the failure of its recent mission, where the Athena spacecraft, tasked with lunar exploration, became non-operational after a mishap upon landing. This event marks the second consecutive failed mission following last year's setback with the Odysseus spacecraft.

CEO Steve Altemus remains optimistic, but stakeholders are wary, particularly as the Athena mission was significant, carrying payloads from NASA and commercial clients. The mission included critical equipment such as rovers and a drill for lunar water ice exploration. Such failures cast doubt on the company's reliability in delivering space exploration services.

Analyzing the financials of Intuitive Machines (LUNR, Financial), the current stock price is $6.76, reflecting a market capitalization of $626.04 million. The company has been facing financial challenges, highlighted by several severe warning signs. The Altman Z-Score indicates a distress zone with a potential for bankruptcy in the coming two years. Additionally, the Beneish M-Score suggests possible financial manipulations, and their earnings quality is questionable due to a negative Sloan Ratio of 160.63%.

The GF Value data is currently unavailable for Intuitive Machines, which implies complexities in assessing its intrinsic value at this time. However, the company's valuation metrics indicate concerns; with a significant negative EBITDA growth rate of -521.6% over the past year, the financial health of the company is under scrutiny. The company reports an operating margin of -21.57% and an EBITDA margin of -72.77%, both of which underscore the financial losses it is enduring.

The stock exhibits high volatility, with a recent 52-week high of $24.95 and low of $3.15, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to its operational news and developments. Additionally, Intuitive Machines has not shown any positive growth signals recently, and insider trading activities have been predominantly selling, with 1,071,632 shares sold in the past three months without any purchases.

Given the current market conditions and internal challenges, potential investors should exercise caution and closely monitor the company's progress on future missions and financial recovery efforts.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.