Vistra (VST) -- Strategic Exit Amidst Volatile Market Dynamics | Legacy Ridge 2024 Q4

Capitalizing on Power Demand Growth and AI Trends

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Apr 13, 2025
Summary
  • Exited position following significant appreciation in stock value.
  • Benefited from increased power demand and AI-driven market excitement.
  • Faced challenges from emerging AI technologies reducing energy consumption.
  • Stock appreciated by 262% in 2024 before a sharp decline.
  • Future outlook uncertain due to fluctuating power demand estimates.

In Legacy Ridge Capital Management’s Q4 2024 letter, Vistra (VST, Financial) was highlighted as a significant position that was completely exited after a period of substantial appreciation. The fund capitalized on the stock's rise, driven by increased power demand and excitement around AI, before a sudden market correction.

"Selling is hard! The punchline is that we completely exited our Vistra (VST, Financial) position 2-weeks ago, selling our final block of shares around $170, but we’re hardly clairvoyant. In fact, almost immediately our sale looked premature as the stock subsequently jumped to $199, and then a few days later the stock went down 28% to $137 on a report Chinese AI startup DeepSeek uses significantly less capital and energy in their AI model than incumbent US versions." — Kristopher P. Kelley, Legacy Ridge Capital Management, Q4 2024 Fund Letter

Read full letter at gurufocus Legacy Ridge 2024 Q4 page.