China's Mineral Export Ban Impacts MP Materials (MP) Shares | MP Stock News

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Apr 15, 2025
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China has enacted a ban on the export of several crucial minerals and magnets, a move widely interpreted as a countermeasure to heightened U.S. tariffs introduced by President Trump. As of April 4, restrictions have been placed on the exportation of six heavy rare earth elements and rare earth magnets, both essential to numerous high-tech industries. It is noteworthy that China entirely refines these metals and produces 90% of the global supply of these magnets.

This development has affected various markets, with MP Materials (MP, Financial) experiencing a notable decrease in its stock price. While initially showing gains in early Tuesday trading, shares of MP Materials have fallen by approximately 2%, settling at $27.05. This reaction underscores market sensitivity to China's strategic control over rare earth elements, which are critical in the production of a wide array of technological products.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Based on the one-year price targets offered by 11 analysts, the average target price for MP Materials Corp (MP, Financial) is $26.78 with a high estimate of $32.00 and a low estimate of $21.60. The average target implies an downside of 0.64% from the current price of $26.96. More detailed estimate data can be found on the MP Materials Corp (MP) Forecast page.

Based on the consensus recommendation from 13 brokerage firms, MP Materials Corp's (MP, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.0, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for MP Materials Corp (MP, Financial) in one year is $29.96, suggesting a upside of 11.15% from the current price of $26.955. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the MP Materials Corp (MP) Summary page.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.