Baird has adjusted its price target for Dover (DOV, Financial), decreasing it from $238 to $219. Despite this reduction, the firm maintains an Outperform rating on the company's stock. The decision follows an analysis of Dover's first-quarter results, which revealed strong operational management amid challenging tariff conditions and broader economic uncertainties. Baird's revised model reflects the company's ability to navigate these hurdles effectively, supporting its positive outlook on Dover's future performance.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 17 analysts, the average target price for Dover Corp (DOV, Financial) is $199.26 with a high estimate of $230.00 and a low estimate of $169.00. The average target implies an upside of 17.40% from the current price of $169.72. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Dover Corp (DOV) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 20 brokerage firms, Dover Corp's (DOV, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.2, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Dover Corp (DOV, Financial) in one year is $158.05, suggesting a downside of 6.88% from the current price of $169.72. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Dover Corp (DOV) Summary page.
DOV Key Business Developments
Release Date: January 30, 2025
- Organic Growth: Four out of five segments posted positive organic growth.
- Bookings: Up 7% organically in the quarter.
- Segment Margin: 22.2%, up 60 basis points year-over-year.
- Adjusted EPS Growth: 14% in Q4; 8% for the full year.
- Free Cash Flow: $429 million in Q4, 22% of revenue.
- Full-Year Adjusted Free Cash Flow: 13.5% of revenue.
- Engineered Products Organic Growth: Up 2% in the quarter.
- Clean Energy and Fueling Organic Growth: Up 8% in the quarter.
- Pumps and Process Solutions Organic Growth: Up 3% in the quarter.
- Organic Bookings Growth: Up 16% in the quarter.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Dover Corp (DOV, Financial) reported broad-based top-line performance with four out of five segments posting positive organic growth.
- Bookings were up 7% organically in the quarter, driven by robust order rates in secular growth markets.
- Segment margin performance improved to 22.2%, up 60 basis points over the prior year.
- Dover Corp (DOV) closed two bolt-on acquisitions in its high-priority Pumps and Process Solutions segment, enhancing its growth potential.
- The company ended the year with a strong cash position, providing flexibility for future capital deployment and growth investments.
Negative Points
- Aerospace and Defense segment experienced lower performance due to shipment timing, despite a record year.
- Revenue was down in the Climate and Sustainability Technologies segment due to declines in European heat exchanges and beverage can-making equipment.
- The company faces heightened foreign exchange translation headwinds due to the strengthening US dollar.
- Dover Corp (DOV) carries large accounts receivable balances, impacting cash flow generation.
- The long-cycle polymer processing equipment within the Pumps and Process Solutions segment was down year over year.
