Array Technologies (ARRY) Maintains Revenue and EBITDA Guidance for 2025 | ARRY Stock News

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May 06, 2025
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Array Technologies (ARRY, Financial) has reaffirmed its financial forecasts for the fiscal year concluding on December 31, 2025. The company anticipates its revenue to fall between $1.05 billion and $1.15 billion, aligning with analyst expectations of around $1.09 billion. Additionally, the firm's projection for adjusted EBITDA remains within the $180 million to $200 million range, indicating robust financial health and operational stability moving forward.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Based on the one-year price targets offered by 24 analysts, the average target price for Array Technologies Inc (ARRY, Financial) is $7.95 with a high estimate of $13.00 and a low estimate of $5.00. The average target implies an upside of 61.26% from the current price of $4.93. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) Forecast page.

Based on the consensus recommendation from 27 brokerage firms, Array Technologies Inc's (ARRY, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.3, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Array Technologies Inc (ARRY, Financial) in one year is $12.01, suggesting a upside of 143.61% from the current price of $4.93. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) Summary page.

ARRY Key Business Developments

Release Date: February 27, 2025

  • Fourth Quarter Revenue: $275 million.
  • Full Year 2024 Revenue: $916 million.
  • Fourth Quarter Adjusted Gross Margin: 29.8%, an improvement of 410 basis points year over year.
  • Full Year 2024 Adjusted Gross Margin: 34.1%, an improvement of 680 basis points compared to 2023.
  • Fourth Quarter Adjusted EBITDA: $45.2 million.
  • Full Year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA: $173.6 million.
  • Full Year Free Cash Flow: $135 million.
  • Cash Balance at Year-End: $364 million.
  • Order Book at Year-End: $2 billion, up 10% compared to 2023.
  • Fourth Quarter Net Loss: $141.2 million.
  • Fourth Quarter Adjusted Net Income: $25.1 million.
  • Full Year 2024 Net Loss: $296.1 million.
  • Full Year 2024 Adjusted Net Income: $91.2 million.
  • 2025 Revenue Guidance: $1.05 to $1.15 billion.
  • 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: $180 to $200 million.
  • 2025 Free Cash Flow Guidance: $115 to $130 million.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY, Financial) reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with revenue exceeding the midpoint of their guidance range.
  • The company achieved a significant improvement in adjusted gross margin, reaching 29.8% in Q4 and 34.1% for the full year, reflecting a year-over-year increase.
  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) ended 2024 with a robust order book of $2 billion, marking a 10% increase compared to the previous year.
  • The company made strategic investments in innovation, including a new manufacturing facility in Albuquerque and a significant investment in Swap Robotics, enhancing their product and service offerings.
  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) demonstrated strong cash flow generation, ending the year with $364 million in cash, an increase of $115 million from the previous year.

Negative Points

  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) experienced a 42% decline in revenue for the full year 2024 compared to 2023, attributed to decreased volume and ASPs.
  • The company reported a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $296.1 million for 2024, compared to a net income of $85.5 million in the prior year.
  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) faced challenges in Brazil due to the devaluation of the Brazilian real, volatile interest rates, and newly introduced tariffs, impacting market growth.
  • The company incurred a $236 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge and a $91.9 million non-cash long-lived intangible asset write-down related to the 2022 STI acquisition.
  • Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) noted ongoing industry headwinds, including project timeline pushouts and pricing pressures from commodity price declines.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.