Judge Upholds FDA Decision Ending Zepbound Shortage, Favoring Eli Lilly (LLY)

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May 07, 2025
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Key Highlights:

  • Eli Lilly wins a crucial legal battle as a Texas judge supports the FDA's decision to declare Zepbound's shortage over.
  • Analysts project an impressive potential upside of 27.93% for Eli Lilly's stock.
  • GuruFocus estimates suggest a significant potential increase of 52.11% in Eli Lilly's stock value based on GF Value.

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) recently achieved a legal victory that could have a lasting impact on its business and stock performance. A Texas federal judge has upheld the U.S. FDA's decision from August 2024, which declared the shortage of Eli Lilly's weight loss drug, Zepbound, officially over. This ruling stands as a significant win for Eli Lilly, thwarting the drug compounding industry's efforts to keep producing generic versions of tirzepatide, more commonly known as Mounjaro for diabetes treatment.

Optimistic Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Wall Street analysts are largely optimistic about Eli Lilly's future. With one-year price targets from 26 analysts, the average target for Eli Lilly and Co (LLY, Financial) stands at $993.66. This includes a high estimate of $1,190.00 and a low of $700.00, indicating a potential upside of 27.93% from the current price of $776.72. Investors seeking detailed estimate data can find more insights on the Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Forecast page.

According to the consensus recommendation from 30 brokerage firms, Eli Lilly and Co (LLY, Financial) boasts an average brokerage recommendation of 1.9, aligning with an "Outperform" status. On the rating scale, 1 implies a Strong Buy, while 5 suggests a Sell. This consensus highlights the positive sentiment surrounding Eli Lilly's market potential.

Understanding the GF Value for Eli Lilly

GuruFocus's proprietary GF Value metric estimates that Eli Lilly and Co (LLY, Financial) will reach a value of $1181.50 in the next year, indicating an upside potential of 52.11% from the stock's current price of $776.72. The GF Value is calculated based on historical trading multiples and anticipated business growth, providing a comprehensive view of the stock's fair value. Investors can explore more detailed data and insights on the Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) Summary page.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.