Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth Amidst Streaming Challenges

Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) reports modest revenue growth and strategic investments, while facing hurdles in streaming and market share.

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May 09, 2025
Summary
  • Total Revenue: Increased 1%.
  • Recorded Music Revenue: Increased 1%.
  • Music Publishing Revenue: Increased 3%.
  • Subscription Streaming Growth: Increased 3%.
  • Ad-Supported Streaming: Declined 3%.
  • Physical Revenue: Increased 2%.
  • Artist Services and Expanded Rights Revenue: Decreased 6%.
  • Licensing Revenue: Increased 3%.
  • Adjusted OIBDA: Decreased 1% with a margin of 20.4%.
  • Recorded Music Adjusted OIBDA Margin: Increased 10 basis points to 23%.
  • Music Publishing Adjusted OIBDA: Increased 5% with a margin of 27.4%.
  • Operating Cash Flow: Increased to $69 million from a use of $31 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Free Cash Flow: Increased to $33 million from a use of $57 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Cash Balance: $637 million as of March 31.
  • Total Debt: $4.3 billion, with net debt of $3.7 billion.
  • Weighted Average Cost of Debt: 4.1%.
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Release Date: May 08, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Warner Music Group Corp (WMG, Financial) reported a 1% increase in total revenue, with recorded music revenue growing by 1% and music publishing revenue by 3%.
  • The company has a strong presence on global charts, with significant success in Spotify Global 200 and Billboard charts, indicating effective A&R investments.
  • WMG is expanding its market share in high-growth regions such as MENA, Nigeria, and India, where monetization is shifting towards paid streaming.
  • The company is actively investing in technology, exemplified by the launch of the WMG Pulse app, which provides artists with real-time insights from major DSPs and social media platforms.
  • WMG is focusing on strategic M&A activities to enhance its market position, with plans to reinvest cost savings into high-quality music assets with high margins.

Negative Points

  • WMG experienced a decrease in adjusted OIBDA by 1% and a decline in adjusted OIBDA margin by 50 basis points, primarily due to revenue mix.
  • The company faced market share pressure in China and a tough year-over-year comparison in subscription streaming, impacting overall growth.
  • Ad-supported streaming revenue declined by 3% due to a soft overall ad environment.
  • Artist services and expanded rights revenue decreased by 6%, attributed to lower concert promotion revenue and ongoing weakness in the e-commerce business.
  • The company anticipates challenges in subscription streaming growth to persist for the remainder of the fiscal year, resulting in lower growth than previously expected.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Given the challenging quarter and limited visibility, what confidence can you give investors about Warner Music's growth prospects? Also, how are you thinking about subscription streaming growth for the year?
A: Robert Kyncl, CEO: We are excited about our strategy, which focuses on growing market share, increasing the value of music, and improving efficiency to reinvest in music and technology. Our investments in A&R are showing early signs of success, with significant chart presence and market share growth in new releases. We expect similar trends as in Q2 for the rest of the year.

Q: Can you elaborate on your strategy to grow global market share, especially in emerging markets? Also, what happened in China regarding subscription streaming?
A: Robert Kyncl, CEO: We have strong leadership in high-growth markets like Mexico and Brazil. In China, we expect the current trends to continue for the rest of the year. We have a new head of Asia starting soon to help drive growth in the region.

Q: How should we think about the timing of benefits from DSP renewals?
A: Robert Kyncl, CEO: While I can't go into specific details, the benefits from DSP renewals will take time to materialize. We are making progress, but there's still work to be done.

Q: What changed in your expectations for high single-digit subscription growth? Was it mainly due to China, and how does the lighter release slate factor in?
A: Robert Kyncl, CEO: Our results are impacted by tough comps, market pressure, a lighter release schedule, and weakness in China. The release slate can shift due to various creative reasons, affecting the volume of releases.

Q: Can you discuss your investments in A&R and the outlook for margins?
A: Robert Kyncl, CEO: We focus on capital allocation based on global value of local repertoire. Bryan Castellani, CFO: Margins were affected by lower streaming growth and increased investments in tech and A&R. We will provide more updates on margins in the next call.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.