Ceva (CEVA) Stock Declines After Earnings Miss and Guidance Cut

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May 09, 2025
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Ceva (CEVA, Financial) stock has experienced a notable decline, attributed to a disappointing quarterly earnings report and subsequent negative market reactions. The stock price fell by 4.26%, bringing the current price to $20.24.

Despite a 10% year-over-year increase in revenue to $24.2 million and a 32% rise in licensing revenue to over $15 million, Ceva (CEVA, Financial) fell short of analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings per share. This was compounded by a dip in royalty revenue, which decreased to $9.2 million from the previous year's $10.7 million. The company also lowered its revenue and profitability forecast for 2025, projecting a low-single-digit top-line growth over 2024.

From an analytical perspective, Ceva (CEVA, Financial) presents a mixed picture. The company's gross margin stands at a robust 88.06%, indicating efficient management of production costs. However, its earnings yield, as per Greenblatt, is negative at -2.32%, reflecting challenges in generating profits from its capital investments. The company's return on equity (ROE) is similarly negative at -3.32%, painting a less favorable picture of profitability.

In terms of valuation, Ceva's Price-to-Book ratio (P/B) is 1.79, which is close to its 1-year low, suggesting that the stock might be undervalued at current levels. Furthermore, the GF Value of Ceva is estimated at $24.60, indicating the stock is "Modestly Undervalued" according to the GF Value methodology, which offers a potential upside from its current price.

Despite Ceva's strong financial strength with a Z-score of 7.94, indicating a low bankruptcy risk, and comfortable interest coverage, there are warning signs of a declining revenue per share over the past three years and recent insider selling activities. These factors could weigh on investor sentiment in the short term.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.