Redwire (RDW) Faces Challenges with First Quarter Revenue Decline

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May 12, 2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Redwire (RDW, Financial) reveals a disappointing first-quarter with a significant 30% drop in revenue.
  • Despite facing challenges, analysts maintain an optimistic outlook with a potential upside of over 133%.
  • GF Value indicates a possible downside, highlighting a cautious approach for investors.

Redwire Corp (RDW) recently reported a 6.5% decline in its stock price following its first-quarter financial results. The aerospace and space manufacturing company suffered a 30% year-over-year revenue reduction, bringing in $61.4 million—significantly below analyst expectations of $74.5 million. While the company did manage to reduce its net loss and maintain a strong liquidity position, it faces ongoing challenges in U.S. government contracting. This development is critical for investors monitoring Redwire's market position and future growth prospects.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Analyzing the data provided by 6 analysts, the average one-year price target for Redwire Corp (RDW, Financial) is set at $24.67. Impressively, this figure suggests a potential upside of 133.51% from the current trading price of $10.56. The targets range from a high of $30.00 to a low of $19.00. For a more in-depth analysis, the Redwire Corp (RDW) Forecast page offers detailed insights.

Brokerage firms collectively provide an average recommendation of 1.8 for RDW, indicating an "Outperform" status. On the rating scale where 1 stands for Strong Buy and 5 for Sell, this places Redwire on the positive side of investor sentiment, despite recent financial challenges.

According to GuruFocus, the estimated GF Value for Redwire in one year is $9.72. This estimate suggests a potential downside of 7.98% from the current stock price of $10.5633, reflecting the calculated fair value based on historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance projections. For more comprehensive data, the Redwire Corp (RDW, Financial) Summary page provides a robust analysis.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.