Cybersecurity firm Rapid7 (RPD, Financial) announced its first-quarter revenue of $210.253 million, surpassing the analysts' forecast of $207.93 million. Although the beginning of 2025 was slower than expected, the company's leadership, spearheaded by CEO Corey Thomas, remains confident in their strategic path and long-term potential.
In the face of a challenging macroeconomic climate, Rapid7 is intensifying its focus on strategic investments, particularly in Managed Detection and Response (MDR) services and boosting the adoption of Exposure Command. The firm is also refining its market strategies to strengthen its position.
Despite current hurdles, Rapid7 anticipates a boost in its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) during the latter half of the year. Furthermore, the company emphasizes its dedication to maintaining operational efficiency and achieving robust free cash flow by 2025.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 20 analysts, the average target price for Rapid7 Inc (RPD, Financial) is $36.28 with a high estimate of $45.00 and a low estimate of $26.00. The average target implies an upside of 35.69% from the current price of $26.74. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Rapid7 Inc (RPD) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 25 brokerage firms, Rapid7 Inc's (RPD, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.5, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Rapid7 Inc (RPD, Financial) in one year is $53.33, suggesting a upside of 99.44% from the current price of $26.74. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Rapid7 Inc (RPD) Summary page.
RPD Key Business Developments
Release Date: February 12, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Rapid7 Inc (RPD, Financial) ended 2024 with $840 million in ARR, growing 4% over the prior year, in line with their outlook.
- Revenue and operating income exceeded guided ranges, with over $150 million in free cash flow generated for the year.
- The detection and response business delivered double-digit growth, ending the year with over $400 million in ARR.
- The company made substantial progress in scaling its partner ecosystem, booking 80-90% of new ARR through the channel.
- Rapid7 Inc (RPD) achieved significant milestones in cloud security adoption with the release of Exposure Command, driving over 20% year-over-year growth in risk and exposure management pipeline generation.
Negative Points
- Rapid7 Inc (RPD) acknowledged that recent growth has not kept pace with broader security demand.
- The vulnerability management landscape is facing intense competition and cloud migration, leading to secular pressure and increased churn.
- The company experienced challenges in managing the transition from traditional vulnerability management to integrated security operations.
- There is uncertainty and disruption with certain state, local, educational, and healthcare customers affecting ARR growth expectations.
- The managed service component of the business comes with lower gross margins due to its labor-intensive nature.
