Why Plug Power (PLUG) Stock is Falling Today

Author's Avatar
May 13, 2025
Article's Main Image

Plug Power's (PLUG, Financial) shares saw a significant drop of 8.63% today, trading at a price of $0.83. This decline was driven by the company's widening losses, which have continued to erode investor confidence, despite an 11% increase in revenue for the first quarter.

Investor sentiment was further dampened by Plug Power's guidance for the second-quarter revenue, which hinted at a potential decline compared to the same period last year. This guidance has raised concerns about the company's near-term growth trajectory.

Plug Power is actively working to meet the growing demand for its hydrogen fuel cell units, especially in the material handling sector. However, its substantial investments in building a comprehensive hydrogen production infrastructure have strained financials. Although the company secured a loan facility of up to $525 million to bolster its green hydrogen network, the stock has underperformed this year, reflecting a broader market skepticism.

The latest quarterly report revealed an adjusted loss of $0.21 per share, slightly worse than the market estimates. CEO Andy Marsh has been optimistic, underscoring the progress toward profitability and the expansion of the hydrogen ecosystem. Nonetheless, these positive developments have yet to translate into improved stock performance.

From a valuation perspective, Plug Power's stock is currently facing challenges, reflected in its low price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.43, which is close to a 10-year low. Despite this, the GF Value analysis indicates that the stock could be a possible value trap, urging caution to prospective investors.

Additional warning signs from the financial strength perspective manifest in the low Altman Z-score of -3.74, placing the company in the distress zone, a potential indicator of bankruptcy risk within the next two years. High debt levels remain a concern, with continued issuance of new debt totaling $108.057 million over the past three years.

Externally, the adoption of hydrogen technology is being influenced by the current U.S. presidential administration's policies on clean energy, which also affect Plug Power's growth outlook and stock price performance. With a market cap of $844.57 million, PLUG remains a speculative play amidst these broader uncertainties.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.