UBS has adjusted its price target for Riskified (RSKD, Financial), increasing it from $5.50 to $5.75, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. This update reflects the firm's ongoing assessment of the company's market position and potential performance. Investors interested in evaluating Riskified's future prospects can consider this revised target as part of their decision-making process.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 7 analysts, the average target price for Riskified Ltd (RSKD, Financial) is $6.00 with a high estimate of $8.00 and a low estimate of $4.50. The average target implies an upside of 12.57% from the current price of $5.33. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Riskified Ltd (RSKD) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 9 brokerage firms, Riskified Ltd's (RSKD, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.6, indicating "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Riskified Ltd (RSKD, Financial) in one year is $6.45, suggesting a upside of 21.01% from the current price of $5.33. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Riskified Ltd (RSKD) Summary page.
RSKD Key Business Developments
Release Date: May 14, 2025
- Revenue: $82.4 million, up 8% year over year.
- GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume): $34.2 billion, reflecting a 7% increase year over year.
- New Product Revenue Growth: Approximately 190% year over year.
- Non-GAAP Gross Profit Margin: Approximately 50% for the first quarter.
- Adjusted EBITDA: Positive $1.3 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.
- Free Cash Flow: $26 million for the first quarter.
- Cash, Deposits, and Investments: Approximately $357 million, with zero debt.
- Share Repurchase: 4.1 million shares repurchased for approximately $20.7 million.
- Revenue Guidance for 2025: Between $333 million and $346 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for 2025: Between $18 million and $26 million.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Riskified Ltd (RSKD, Financial) reported an 8% year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025, driven by successful execution of their global go-to-market strategy.
- The company achieved a 100% renewal rate across its top 20 contracts, with nearly half extending into multiyear agreements.
- New product revenue grew approximately 190% year over year, indicating strong traction of their expanded product portfolio.
- Riskified Ltd (RSKD) maintained a strong balance sheet with approximately $357 million in cash, deposits, and investments, and zero debt.
- The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.
Negative Points
- The gross profit margin declined year over year, primarily due to the impact of ramping significant new merchants in new categories and geographies.
- There was a 74% year-over-year decline in the home category, contributing to a 5% decline in the United States market.
- The company anticipates a slight moderation in year-over-year growth for its largest categories, travel and fashion, due to ongoing same-store sales pressure.
- Riskified Ltd (RSKD) faces uncertainty around potential impacts of tariffs on margins and overall funding activity, which could affect future performance.
- The company expects slightly higher operating expenses in the second quarter compared to the first quarter, which could impact profitability.
