EOG Resources (EOG, Financial) has secured an exciting opportunity by being awarded the Unconventional Onshore Block 3 (UCO3) oil exploration concession by Abu Dhabi’s Supreme Council for Financial and Economic Affairs. This concession spans an impressive 3,609 square kilometers, equivalent to nearly 900,000 acres, in an oil-rich region within Al Dhafra, Abu Dhabi.
Holding 100% equity and operatorship, EOG will collaborate with the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to explore and evaluate unconventional oil resources in the concession area. After completing a three-year appraisal period, EOG may progress to a production concession stage, during which ADNOC has the option to join. Drilling is anticipated to commence in the latter half of 2025, with no anticipated changes to EOG's 2025 capital expenditure plans.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 28 analysts, the average target price for EOG Resources Inc (EOG, Financial) is $136.15 with a high estimate of $156.00 and a low estimate of $114.00. The average target implies an upside of 17.51% from the current price of $115.86. More detailed estimate data can be found on the EOG Resources Inc (EOG) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 32 brokerage firms, EOG Resources Inc's (EOG, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.3, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for EOG Resources Inc (EOG, Financial) in one year is $121.56, suggesting a upside of 4.92% from the current price of $115.86. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the EOG Resources Inc (EOG) Summary page.
EOG Key Business Developments
Release Date: May 02, 2025
- Adjusted Net Income: $1.6 billion.
- Free Cash Flow: $1.3 billion.
- Adjusted Earnings Per Share: $2.87.
- Adjusted Cash Flow Per Share: $5.09.
- Cash Returned to Shareholders: $1.3 billion through dividends and share repurchases.
- Capital Expenditure (CapEx) Plan: $6 billion for 2025.
- Debt Repayment: $500 million debt maturity repaid in April.
- Cash Balance: $6.6 billion at the end of the first quarter.
- Long-term Debt: $4.7 billion.
- Oil Production Growth: Approximately 2% year-over-year.
- Natural Gas Production Growth: Approximately 12% year-over-year.
- Share Repurchases: Nearly $5 billion over nine consecutive quarters, reducing share count by 7%.
- Bolt-on Acquisition in Eagle Ford: $275 million, adding over a year of drilling inventory.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- EOG Resources Inc (EOG, Financial) delivered $1.6 billion in adjusted net income and generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow in the first quarter of 2025.
- The company returned $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
- EOG Resources Inc (EOG) has a diverse multi-basin portfolio with over 10 billion barrels of oil equivalent of high-quality resources, positioning it for long-term sustainable growth.
- The company announced a successful oil discovery in its Trinidad asset, enhancing its international exploration success.
- EOG Resources Inc (EOG) is reducing capital investments by $200 million while maintaining oil production levels, optimizing free cash flow and supporting a 2% year-over-year oil growth.
Negative Points
- Speculation on oil demand impacts due to tariff announcements has softened prices, affecting near-term market conditions.
- The company is facing potential near-term impacts on global demand, leading to a cautious approach in capital investment.
- EOG Resources Inc (EOG) has reduced activity in some of its legacy assets, including the Delaware Basin and the Eagle Ford, which may impact future production growth.
- The company is assuming flat service pricing for high-spec rigs and frac equipment, which could limit cost reduction opportunities.
- There is uncertainty regarding the impact of tariffs on well costs beyond 2025, which could affect future financial performance.
