TempusAI (TEM) Sees Surge in Bullish Option Activity | TEM Stock News

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May 20, 2025

TempusAI (TEM, Financial) Inc Class A is experiencing a notable increase in bullish option activity. A total of 46,589 call options have changed hands, which is three times the usual volume. The implied volatility has risen over four points, reaching 89.35%. Among the most traded options are the June 2025 90 calls and the May 2023 weekly 65 calls, collectively accounting for approximately 26,300 contracts. The Put/Call Ratio stands at 0.07, indicating a strong preference for calls over puts. Mark your calendars, as the company is set to announce its earnings on August 5th.

TEM Key Business Developments

Release Date: May 06, 2025

  • Quarterly Revenue: Increased 75.4% year-over-year to $255.7 million.
  • Genomics Revenue: $193.8 million, representing 89% year-over-year growth.
  • Oncology Testing Growth: 31% year-over-year with approximately 20% volume growth.
  • Hereditary Testing Revenue: $63.5 million, with unit growth of 23%.
  • Data and Services Revenue: $61.9 million, a 43% year-over-year increase.
  • Gross Profit: $155.2 million, a 99.8% year-over-year growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Negative $16.2 million, improved by $27.8 million year-over-year.
  • Full Year 2025 Revenue Guidance: Increased to $1.25 billion, representing about 80% year-over-year growth.
  • Data and Modeling License Agreement: 3-year $200 million agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos.
  • Total Remaining Contract Value: Greater than $1 billion as of April 30.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Quarterly revenue increased by 75.4% year-over-year to $255.7 million, showcasing strong financial performance.
  • Genomics revenue saw an impressive 89% year-over-year growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue.
  • The company announced a 3-year $200 million data and modeling license agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos, enhancing its strategic partnerships.
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved significantly, reducing the loss from $43.9 million in Q1 2024 to $16.2 million in Q1 2025.
  • Tempus AI Inc (TEM, Financial) raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.25 billion, indicating confidence in continued growth.

Negative Points

  • Despite revenue growth, the company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $16.2 million, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
  • The cost of compute for the new data model is significant, although partially covered by partners.
  • The MRD (Minimal Residual Disease) tests are not yet reimbursed by MolDx, leading to metered volumes and potential revenue limitations.
  • There is a risk of over-reliance on large pharma contracts, which could be impacted by broader economic conditions.
  • The hereditary testing business, while performing well, is still subject to market perceptions of commoditization and long-term growth uncertainty.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.