Key Highlights:
- Lightspeed Commerce's (LSPD, Financial) stock experienced a 7% decline post-Q4 2025 earnings report.
- FY2026 revenue growth is anticipated to be between 10%-12% with adjusted EBITDA projected at $68M-$72M.
- Analysts predict an average price target of $13.19, indicating a potential upside of 32.34% from the current price.
Lightspeed Commerce's Earnings Report: A Closer Look
Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) experienced a notable 7% decrease in its stock value following an underwhelming fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report accompanied by mixed guidance for future growth. The company anticipates FY2026 revenue to increase by 10% to 12%, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $68 million and $72 million. Despite Q4 2025 revenue reaching $253.4 million—surpassing expectations—it reflected a downturn from Q3's figures. Investors are advised to approach with caution given the current market volatility.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast and Consensus Rating
According to insights from 13 analysts, the average one-year price target for Lightspeed Commerce Inc (LSPD, Financial) stands at $13.19, with estimates ranging from a high of $20.53 to a low of $9.00. This average target suggests a potential upside of 32.34% from the current trading price of $9.97. For more detailed estimate data, investors can refer to the Lightspeed Commerce Inc (LSPD) Forecast page.
The consensus among 13 brokerage firms positions Lightspeed Commerce Inc (LSPD, Financial) with an average brokerage recommendation of 2.8, categorizing it as a "Hold". The rating scale used here ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Sell), indicating a moderate stance among analysts.
GF Value Estimate and Investment Potential
As per GuruFocus estimates, the GF Value for Lightspeed Commerce Inc (LSPD, Financial) in one year is projected at $23.82. This suggests a significant upside potential of 138.92% from the current price point of $9.97. The GF Value represents GuruFocus' calculation of the stock's fair trading value, derived from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance projections. Investors seeking further details can visit the Lightspeed Commerce Inc (LSPD) Summary page.
In conclusion, while Lightspeed Commerce faces certain challenges in maintaining its current growth trajectory, the potential for significant returns remains, as reflected in analyst projections and GF Value estimates. Investors should weigh these factors carefully when considering their investment strategies.
