Five Below (FIVE) Stock Dips After Analyst Downgrade

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May 23, 2025
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Five Below (FIVE, Financial) saw a decline in its stock value today by 2.51%, following CFRA's downgrade from "buy" to "hold" with a price target adjusted to $108. This recommendation shift comes ahead of the company's upcoming fiscal 2026 first-quarter earnings release, adding pressure to the stock's performance.

Despite this temporary setback, analysts remain bullish on Five Below's prospects. The company has increased its Q1 sales guidance to approximately $967 million, reflecting confidence in its operational strategy and growth potential. This marks an upward revision from the earlier estimate of $905 million to $925 million. Additionally, the expected same-store sales growth is now at 6.7%, a significant improvement over the initial forecast range of 0% to 2%.

In terms of valuation, Five Below currently trades at $107.27, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.91 billion. The stock exhibits a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.37, indicative of moderate valuation within the specialty retail sector. However, it's crucial to note several analytical indicators: the company has a robust Altman Z-score of 3.25, indicating strong financial resilience, and a Beneish M-Score of -2.82, suggesting it's unlikely to be a manipulator.

Five Below's GF Value indicates that the stock is significantly undervalued with a current estimate of $205.38. For more in-depth analysis, investors can explore the GF Value page. Additionally, the stock's growth trajectory includes a 19% year-over-year revenue growth and a 38% increase in per-share earnings, reflective of its strategic positioning to attract tween and teen demographics with its value-focused merchandising.

Overall, while the current market sentiment reflects caution due to CFRA's downgrade, the underlying business fundamentals and growth outlook for Five Below remain solid, suggesting potential for long-term upside as the company navigates its earnings release and beyond.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.