JPMorgan Increases Price Target for VTEX to $7.50 on AI-Driven Cost Improvements | VTEX Stock News

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May 27, 2025

JPMorgan has boosted its price target for Vtex (VTEX, Financial) from $6.50 to $7.50, maintaining an Overweight rating on the company's stock. This adjustment comes as the firm anticipates improved profit margins, attributed to efficiency gains in support costs driven by artificial intelligence initiatives. Investors may find this development indicative of potential growth in VTEX's performance dynamics.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Based on the one-year price targets offered by 6 analysts, the average target price for Vtex (VTEX, Financial) is $9.22 with a high estimate of $12.00 and a low estimate of $7.00. The average target implies an upside of 48.90% from the current price of $6.19. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Vtex (VTEX) Forecast page.

Based on the consensus recommendation from 8 brokerage firms, Vtex's (VTEX, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.1, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Vtex (VTEX, Financial) in one year is $8.01, suggesting a upside of 29.4% from the current price of $6.19. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Vtex (VTEX) Summary page.

VTEX Key Business Developments

Release Date: May 06, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Vtex (VTEX, Financial) reported a 15% growth in subscription revenue on an FX-neutral basis for Q1 2025.
  • The company achieved a 22% growth in gross profit, reaching $41 million, with a 3.7 percentage points margin increase year over year.
  • Non-GAAP operating income increased by 85% to $5.3 million, with a 4.2 percentage points margin increase year over year.
  • Vtex (VTEX) generated strong free cash flow of $6.6 million in the first quarter.
  • The company successfully launched several new customers, including high-profile names like Manchester City Football Club, expanding its global footprint.

Negative Points

  • The macroeconomic environment remains volatile, impacting same-store sales and GMV growth, increasing uncertainty in projections.
  • Despite a positive quarter, Vtex (VTEX) faces challenges in maintaining its subscription gross margin gains in a seasonally softer quarter.
  • There was a sequential headcount reduction of 3.5%, primarily affecting the support area, indicating potential operational adjustments.
  • The company is experiencing increased R&D expenses, reflecting a strategic investment in product development, which could pressure short-term profitability.
  • Vtex (VTEX) has a small market share in the US, making it less exposed to macroeconomic movements but also limiting its growth potential in this key market.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.