Raymond James Begins Coverage of TMX Group (TMXXF) with Positive Outlook | TMXXF Stock News

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May 28, 2025
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Raymond James has commenced its analysis on TMX Group (TMXXF, Financial), assigning the stock an Outperform rating. The financial services firm has set a price target of C$59 for TMX Group, indicating a positive outlook on the company's potential performance in the market. This rating suggests confidence in TMXXF's ability to deliver strong returns in the future.

TMXXF Key Business Developments

Release Date: May 06, 2025

  • Revenue: Increased 21% year over year, reaching a record quarter.
  • Organic Revenue Growth: Excluding acquisitions, organic revenue increased 19%.
  • Adjusted Earnings Per Share: Increased 26% from the first quarter of 2024.
  • Derivative Trading and Clearing Revenue: Increased 42% year over year.
  • Equity and Fixed Income Trading Revenue: Increased 24% over Q1 of 2024.
  • Global Insights Revenue: Increased 14% in Q1 of 2025.
  • Tradeport Revenue: Grew 20% compared to last year.
  • Vetify Revenue: Increased 21% year over year.
  • Capital Formation Revenue: Increased 10% compared to Q1 2024.
  • Operating Expenses: Increased 16% year over year.
  • Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Ratio: 2.5 times as of March 30th.
  • Cash and Marketable Securities: Over $361 million as of March 31st.
  • Quarterly Dividend: $0.20 per common share, with a payout ratio of 42% for Q1.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • TMX Group Ltd (TMXXF, Financial) reported a record revenue increase of 21% year-over-year for Q1 2025, driven by growth across traditional and new business areas.
  • Adjusted earnings per share increased by 26% compared to the first quarter of 2024, highlighting strong financial performance.
  • The launch of the new US equity trading venue, Alpha XUS, has been well-received, with average daily volume growing each month since its launch.
  • The successful implementation of the post-trade modernization platform (PTM) marks a significant upgrade in TMX's infrastructure, enhancing operational efficiency and future growth potential.
  • TMX Group Ltd (TMXXF) has maintained a strong balance sheet, with a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.5 times, and has returned to its target leverage range, providing flexibility for future strategic investments.

Negative Points

  • Total expenses increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by higher employee performance incentive plan costs and strategic realignment expenses.
  • Despite revenue growth, the company faces challenges in capital raising conditions, particularly outside the mining sector.
  • The integration of recent acquisitions has led to additional operating expenses, impacting overall cost management.
  • The post-trade modernization project, while successful, has required significant resources and may continue to present challenges during the hypercare period.
  • Market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties pose ongoing risks to trading volumes and overall financial performance.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.