XPeng Inc. (XPEV, Financial) has experienced an increase in bearish trading activity, with a total of 5,038 put options traded, surpassing the anticipated volume by 20%. The options that saw the most action were the weekly 18 puts expiring on June 27 and the January 2026 11 puts, accounting for around 2,700 contracts. This surge in put options has resulted in a Put/Call Ratio of 1.57. Additionally, the at-the-money implied volatility has risen by nearly 2 points within the day. Investors are watching closely as the company is set to release its earnings on August 19th.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 25 analysts, the average target price for XPeng Inc (XPEV, Financial) is $24.10 with a high estimate of $32.08 and a low estimate of $10.93. The average target implies an upside of 19.35% from the current price of $20.20. More detailed estimate data can be found on the XPeng Inc (XPEV) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 25 brokerage firms, XPeng Inc's (XPEV, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.1, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for XPeng Inc (XPEV, Financial) in one year is $30.81, suggesting a upside of 52.56% from the current price of $20.195. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the XPeng Inc (XPEV) Summary page.
XPEV Key Business Developments
Release Date: May 21, 2025
- Q1 Deliveries: 94,008 units, a 331% year-over-year increase.
- Gross Margin: 15.6% in Q1 2025, improved for seven consecutive quarters.
- Free Cash Flow: Exceeded RMB3 billion in Q1.
- Total Revenue: RMB15.81 billion, a 141.5% year-over-year increase.
- Vehicle Sales Revenue: RMB14.37 billion, a 159.2% year-over-year increase.
- Services and Others Revenue: RMB1.44 billion, a 43.6% year-over-year increase.
- Vehicle Margin: 10.5% in Q1 2025, up from 5.5% in Q1 2024.
- R&D Expenses: RMB1.98 billion, a 46.7% year-over-year increase.
- SG&A Expenses: RMB1.95 billion, a 40.2% year-over-year increase.
- Net Loss: RMB0.66 billion, reduced from RMB1.37 billion year-over-year.
- Cash and Equivalents: RMB45.28 billion as of March 31, 2025.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- XPeng Inc (XPEV, Financial) achieved a record high of 94,008 vehicle deliveries in Q1 2025, marking a 331% year-over-year increase.
- The company's vehicle gross margin improved for seven consecutive quarters, reaching a record high of 15.6% in Q1 2025.
- XPeng Inc (XPEV) reported significant progress in AI-driven tech innovation, enhancing capabilities in AI-assisted driving, smart cabins, and Turing chips.
- The company successfully expanded its global presence, with overseas deliveries increasing by more than 31,700 year-over-year.
- XPeng Inc (XPEV) anticipates achieving profitability in Q4 2025 and generating substantial free cash flow for the entire year.
Negative Points
- Despite the impressive growth, XPeng Inc (XPEV) reported a net loss of RMB0.66 billion for Q1 2025.
- The company faced inventory provisions and losses on purchase commitments related to the upgrade of certain vehicle models.
- R&D expenses increased by 46.7% year-over-year, driven by higher expenses related to new vehicle models and technologies.
- XPeng Inc (XPEV) is exposed to foreign exchange risks, particularly due to its business in Europe.
- The company faces increased competition from both domestic and international automakers, impacting market dynamics.
