Colliers analyst Barry Oxford has started coverage of Sun Communities (SUI, Financial) with a Neutral rating, setting a price target of $130. According to his research, the company experienced sluggish growth in the transient recreational vehicle sector during the first quarter, and this trend is expected to persist. Additionally, a new CEO has yet to be appointed, which is anticipated to take priority following the sale of the Marina portfolio.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 15 analysts, the average target price for Sun Communities Inc (SUI, Financial) is $136.40 with a high estimate of $150.01 and a low estimate of $117.00. The average target implies an upside of 8.43% from the current price of $125.80. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Sun Communities Inc (SUI) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 15 brokerage firms, Sun Communities Inc's (SUI, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.3, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Sun Communities Inc (SUI, Financial) in one year is $103.05, suggesting a downside of 18.08% from the current price of $125.8. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Sun Communities Inc (SUI) Summary page.
SUI Key Business Developments
Release Date: May 06, 2025
- Core FFO per Share: $1.26, a 5.8% increase year-over-year.
- North American Same-Property NOI Growth: 4.6% overall, with manufactured housing up 8.9%.
- Manufactured Housing Revenue Growth: 7.3%, with a 150 basis points occupancy gain.
- RV Segment Revenue Increase: 7.8% year-over-year for the annual side.
- RV Same-Property NOI Decline: 9.1%, due to softness in transient RV business.
- UK Same-Property NOI Decrease: $600,000, primarily due to higher payroll and real estate taxes.
- Debt Balance: $7.4 billion as of March 31, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.1%.
- Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio: 5.9 times.
- Interest Expense Savings: Expected annualized savings of approximately $160 million.
- Core FFO per Share Guidance for 2025: $6.43 to $6.63.
- Planned Quarterly Distribution Increase: 10.6% to $1.04 per common share and unit.
- Stock Repurchase Program: Adoption of a $1 billion stock repurchase program.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Sun Communities Inc (SUI, Financial) successfully closed the $5.65 billion sale of Safe Harbor Marinas, enhancing financial flexibility and positioning the company for long-term growth.
- The company reported a 5.8% year-over-year increase in core FFO per share, driven by solid operational execution and cost optimization efforts.
- Manufactured housing showed resilience with a same-property NOI increase of 8.9% in the first quarter, supported by strong rental rate increases and occupancy gains.
- Sun Communities Inc (SUI) has established a new long-term net debt-to-EBITDA target of 3.5 to 4.5 times, reflecting a commitment to debt reduction.
- The company announced a one-time cash distribution of $4 per share and a planned increase to the quarterly distribution by approximately 10.6%, demonstrating a focus on shareholder returns.
Negative Points
- The RV segment experienced a decline in same-property NOI of 9.1%, attributed to softness in the transient RV business and reduced Canadian guests.
- The UK portfolio saw a modest decrease in same-property NOI due to higher payroll costs and real estate taxes.
- Sun Communities Inc (SUI) reduced its RV same-property NOI expectations due to slower transient reservation pacing and a shift towards shorter booking windows.
- The company is facing challenges in the transient RV business, with a 20% decline in revenue due to seasonality and high conversion rates impacting available transient sites.
- There is uncertainty regarding the tax implications of the Safe Harbor sale, as the company continues to evaluate tax minimization strategies.
