Oracle (ORCL) Stock Surges Amid Analyst Upgrades

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Jun 13, 2025
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Oracle (ORCL, Financial) shares witnessed a remarkable surge of 7.69% recently, with the stock price reaching $215.22. This upward movement comes on the heels of a series of positive analyst upgrades following Oracle's robust earnings report.

In its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 report, Oracle reported an 11% increase in revenue, reaching $15.9 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) growing by 4.3%. This performance outpaced expectations, as revenue exceeded forecasts by $300 million and adjusted EPS surpassed the projected $1.64.

The company has set an optimistic outlook for fiscal 2026, predicting revenue of $67 billion, reflecting 16% growth. This growth is primarily driven by a projected 70% increase in cloud infrastructure, substantially higher compared to the 51% increase in the previous year.

Oracle's recent performance has prompted several analysts to revise their evaluations. Goldman Sachs raised its price target from $145 to $195, maintaining a neutral rating. Meanwhile, BMO Capital Markets increased its price target from $200 to $235, upgrading its rating to outperform.

From a valuation perspective, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) is considered "Significantly Overvalued" based on its GF Value of $126.84. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently 49.59, which is close to its 5-year high. Moreover, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is nearly at a 10-year high, indicating a premium valuation.

Despite these high valuations, Oracle's strong revenue growth and promising future prospects in the cloud infrastructure sector continue to fuel investor interest. However, investors should also be aware of certain financial metrics such as the Altman Z-Score of 2.91, which places the company in the grey area, suggesting some financial stress. Additionally, the gross margin has been experiencing a long-term decline.

Overall, Oracle (ORCL, Financial) exhibits a robust growth trajectory, with a 3-year revenue growth rate of 9.6%. Investors might view the stock as having strong momentum, but should also consider the mixed signals from financial health indicators.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.