Goldman Sachs has revised its stance on Nio (NIO, Financial), elevating the stock from a Sell to a Neutral rating. The financial institution has set a price target of $3.80 for the electric vehicle company, reflecting a more balanced outlook on its future performance. This decision marks a shift in sentiment towards Nio, potentially influencing investor perceptions and strategies moving forward.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 23 analysts, the average target price for NIO Inc (NIO, Financial) is $4.96 with a high estimate of $8.99 and a low estimate of $3.00. The average target implies an upside of 40.81% from the current price of $3.52. More detailed estimate data can be found on the NIO Inc (NIO) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 25 brokerage firms, NIO Inc's (NIO, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.5, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for NIO Inc (NIO, Financial) in one year is $11.58, suggesting a upside of 228.98% from the current price of $3.52. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the NIO Inc (NIO) Summary page.
NIO Key Business Developments
Release Date: June 03, 2025
- Total Revenue: RMB12 billion, up 21.5% year-over-year, down 38.9% quarter-over-quarter.
- Vehicle Sales: RMB9.9 billion, up 18.6% year-over-year, down 43.1% quarter-over-quarter.
- Other Sales: RMB2.1 billion, up 37.2% year-over-year, down 5.9% quarter-over-quarter.
- Vehicle Margin: 10.2%, compared to 9.2% in Q1 last year and 13.1% last quarter.
- Overall Gross Margin: 7.6%, compared to 4.9% in Q1 last year and 11.7% last quarter.
- R&D Expenses: RMB3.2 billion, up 11.1% year-over-year, down 12.5% quarter-over-quarter.
- SG&A Expenses: RMB4.4 billion, up 46.8% year-over-year, down 9.8% quarter-over-quarter.
- Loss from Operations: RMB6.4 billion, up 19% year-over-year, up 6.4% quarter-over-quarter.
- Net Loss: RMB6.8 billion, increased year-over-year, decreased 5.1% quarter-over-quarter.
- Vehicle Deliveries: 42,094 units, up 4.1% year-over-year.
- Q2 Delivery Guidance: Between 72,000 and 35,000, representing 25.5% to 30.7% growth year-over-year.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- NIO Inc (NIO, Financial) delivered 42,094 smart EVs in Q1 2025, marking a 4.1% year-over-year increase.
- The company launched and delivered new models including the ES6, EC6, ET5, and ET5T, which are expected to drive significant growth in Q2.
- NIO Inc (NIO) achieved year-over-year growth in both vehicle gross margin and overall gross margin due to cost reduction efforts.
- The NIO brand's ET9 surpassed BMW 7 Series and Audi A8 in China, marking a breakthrough for a Chinese brand in the premium executive segment.
- NIO Inc (NIO) raised over HKD4 billion in a share offering in Hong Kong, attracting global long-term investors.
Negative Points
- Total revenues decreased 38.9% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting a seasonal impact on deliveries.
- Vehicle margin decreased to 10.2% from 13.1% in the previous quarter due to increased manufacturing costs per unit.
- The company reported a net loss of RMB6.8 billion, showing an increase year-over-year.
- R&D expenses increased 11.1% year-over-year, driven by new product development and increased personnel costs.
- SG&A expenses rose 46.8% year-over-year, primarily due to increased personnel costs and sales and marketing activities.
