The price target for Oracle (ORCL, Financial) has been increased from $180 to $202 by Berenberg analyst Nay Soe Naing, while maintaining a Hold rating on the shares. The latest developments in artificial intelligence, particularly the ability of AI agents to complete business activities independently, are highlighted as a significant factor in creating new enterprise value. This technological progress is expected to enhance the adoption of AI in business environments, adding fundamental value to enterprises. The analyst’s insights underline the potential impact of autonomous AI on the business landscape.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 32 analysts, the average target price for Oracle Corp (ORCL, Financial) is $214.83 with a high estimate of $250.00 and a low estimate of $170.00. The average target implies an upside of 0.94% from the current price of $212.82. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Oracle Corp (ORCL) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 42 brokerage firms, Oracle Corp's (ORCL, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.1, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Oracle Corp (ORCL, Financial) in one year is $149.08, suggesting a downside of 29.95% from the current price of $212.82. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Oracle Corp (ORCL) Summary page.
ORCL Key Business Developments
Release Date: June 11, 2025
- Total Revenue: $15.9 billion, up 11% from last year.
- Non-GAAP EPS: $1.70.
- GAAP EPS: $1.19.
- Total Cloud Revenue (SaaS + IaaS): $6.7 billion, up 27%.
- Total Cloud Services and License Support Revenue: $11.7 billion, up 14%.
- IaaS Revenue: $3 billion, up 52%.
- OCI Consumption Revenue: Up 62%.
- Cloud Database Services Revenue: Up 31%, annualized revenue of $2.6 billion.
- Autonomous Database Consumption Revenue: Up 47%.
- SaaS Revenue: $3.7 billion, up 11%.
- Application Subscription Revenues: $5 billion, up 8%.
- Software License Revenues: $2 billion, up 8%.
- Operating Income Growth: 7%.
- Full Fiscal Year Revenue: $57.4 billion, up 9%.
- Total Cloud Services and License Support Revenue (Full Year): $44 billion, up 12%.
- Operating Cash Flow (Full Year): $20.8 billion, up 12%.
- Free Cash Flow (Full Year): Negative $400 million.
- CapEx (Full Year): $21.2 billion.
- Cash and Marketable Securities: $11.2 billion.
- Short-term Deferred Revenue Balance: $9.4 billion.
- Shares Repurchased: Over 1 million shares for $150 million.
- Dividends Paid (Last 12 Months): $4.7 billion.
- Quarterly Dividend Declared: $0.50 per share.
- Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO): $138 billion, up 41%.
- Cloud RPO Growth: 56%.
- Operating Cash Flow (Q4): $6.2 billion.
- Free Cash Flow (Q4): Negative $2.9 billion.
- CapEx (Q4): $9.1 billion.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Oracle Corp (ORCL, Financial) reported double-digit revenue growth in Q4, with total revenue and EPS exceeding guidance.
- The company's cloud transition has reached a tipping point, with cloud revenue (SaaS plus IaaS) up 27% to $6.7 billion.
- Oracle's infrastructure business, OCI, is experiencing exceptional demand, with revenue expected to grow over 70% in the current year.
- The company's strategic SaaS products are seeing strong bookings and higher renewal rates, contributing to accelerated growth.
- Oracle's remaining performance obligations increased to $138 billion, up 41% from last year, indicating strong future revenue potential.
Negative Points
- Oracle's free cash flow was negative $400 million for the fiscal year, with significant CapEx investments impacting cash flow.
- The company is facing supply constraints, unable to meet the high demand for its cloud services, leading to scheduling customers into the future.
- CapEx is expected to increase further to over $25 billion in FY26, which may strain financial resources.
- Despite strong growth, there is a lack of understanding among investors about the durability and profitability of Oracle's AI business.
- Oracle's cloud database migration from on-premise is still in progress, with a significant portion of the database business yet to transition to the cloud.
