Tesla (TSLA, Financial) observed varied options sentiment as its shares edged up by $0.26, a gain of 0.08%, to approximately $310.13. The options trading volume was consistent with the average, recording 2.06 million contracts. Calls were more prevalent than puts, resulting in a put/call ratio of 0.88, slightly higher than the usual 0.84. The 30-day implied volatility (IV30) decreased by 0.91, reaching 55.2, placing it in the lower quartile of the last year. This level of volatility suggests an expected daily price movement of $10.78.
The demand for protective puts increased, as indicated by a rising put-call skew, which followed a downgrade to Market Perform by William Blair. Investors are looking ahead to Tesla's upcoming earnings report set for release on July 23, 2025. Current options pricing indicates a 50% chance of a price change exceeding 6.25% or $19.38.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 43 analysts, the average target price for Tesla Inc (TSLA, Financial) is $293.64 with a high estimate of $500.00 and a low estimate of $19.05. The average target implies an downside of 5.29% from the current price of $310.05. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Tesla Inc (TSLA) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 53 brokerage firms, Tesla Inc's (TSLA, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.7, indicating "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Tesla Inc (TSLA, Financial) in one year is $269.28, suggesting a downside of 13.15% from the current price of $310.0512. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Tesla Inc (TSLA) Summary page.
TSLA Key Business Developments
Release Date: April 22, 2025
- Gross Profit for Energy Storage: Record gross profit achieved in Q1.
- Vehicle Deliveries: Decline due to factory updates and reduced production.
- Auto Margins: Declined sequentially due to lower deliveries and fixed cost absorption.
- Energy Storage Deployments: Sequential decline, but highest gross profit recorded.
- Operating Expenses: Increased due to AI initiatives and vehicle program developments.
- Other Income: Significant reduction due to Bitcoin mark-to-market loss.
- CapEx Guidance: Forecasted to exceed $10 billion for the year.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Tesla Inc (TSLA, Financial) is on track to launch fully autonomous rides in Austin by June, with plans to expand to other cities by the end of the year.
- The company has made significant progress in localizing supply chains, reducing logistics risks and tariffs impact.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA) achieved a record gross profit for its energy storage business in Q1, with strong demand for Megapacks.
- The Optimus humanoid robot project is progressing well, with expectations to scale production to thousands of units by the end of the year.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA) continues to lead in AI and autonomous technology, with plans to have millions of autonomous vehicles operating by the second half of next year.
Negative Points
- Tesla Inc (TSLA) faced a decline in vehicle deliveries in Q1 due to factory updates and negative brand perception in certain markets.
- The company is experiencing challenges related to tariffs, particularly affecting the energy business due to reliance on Chinese LFP battery cells.
- Auto margins declined sequentially due to lower deliveries and reduced regulatory credit revenues.
- The Optimus robot production is affected by supply chain issues, particularly with permanent magnets from China.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA) is facing increased operating expenses due to investments in AI initiatives and new vehicle programs.
