PONY's Bullish Option Activity Surges with Increased Implied Volatility | PONY Stock News

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4 days ago

Recent trading activity in PonyAI (PONY, Financial) Inc has revealed a surge in bullish sentiment, with approximately 14,962 call options changing hands. This figure is 1.1 times the expected volume, signaling increased interest among investors. Additionally, the implied volatility for PONY has risen by over a percentage point, now standing at 95.47%.

The most traded options include the July 2025 13.5 calls and the November 2025 25 calls, which have collectively seen a volume of around 5,100 contracts. Currently, the Put/Call Ratio for PONY is notably low at 0.23, indicating a strong skew towards call options. Investors are keeping an eye on the upcoming earnings report, scheduled for August 19th, which could further influence trading dynamics.

PONY Key Business Developments

Release Date: May 20, 2025

  • Revenue: USD 14 million, up 11.6% year-over-year.
  • Robotaxi Service Revenue: USD 1.7 million, up 200.3% year-over-year.
  • Fare Charging Revenue Growth: Approximately 800% year-over-year.
  • Gross Profit: USD 2.3 million.
  • Gross Margin: 16.6%, down from 21% in the same period last year.
  • Total Operating Expenses: USD 58.4 million, up 56.3% year-over-year.
  • Non-GAAP Operating Expenses: USD 49.3 million, up 35% year-over-year.
  • Net Loss: USD 37.9 million, compared to USD 20.8 million in the first quarter of 2024.
  • Non-GAAP Net Loss: USD 28.4 million, compared to USD 25.7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: USD 738.5 million as of March 31, 2025.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Revenue from Pony AI Inc (PONY, Financial)'s Robotaxi services doubled year-over-year for the first quarter of 2025, with fare charging revenues growing approximately eightfold.
  • The launch of the seventh-generation autonomous driving system achieved a 70% reduction in bill of materials costs compared to the previous generation, showcasing significant technological advancements.
  • Pony AI Inc (PONY) has secured production capability to grow its fleet to 1,000 vehicles by the end of the year, enhancing fleet density across its operational network.
  • Strategic partnerships with key players like Tencent and Uber have been established, expanding Pony AI Inc (PONY)'s ecosystem both domestically and internationally.
  • The company has achieved a remote assistant to driver ratio of up to 20, significantly reducing operational costs and demonstrating efficiency improvements.

Negative Points

  • Gross margin decreased to 16.6% from 21% in the same period last year, primarily due to changes in revenue mix and increased ADC sales.
  • Total operating expenses increased by 56.3% year-over-year, driven by investments in mass production for Gen 7 and one-time expenses associated with share awards.
  • Net loss for the first quarter was USD37.9 million, compared to USD20.8 million in the first quarter of 2024, indicating increased financial strain.
  • Cash reserves decreased from USD825.8 million at the end of 2024 to USD738.5 million as of March 31, 2025, due to R&D efforts and supply chain preparations.
  • The company anticipates natural volatility in revenues from quarter to quarter due to the project-based nature of some revenue streams, which could affect financial predictability.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.