An analyst from BofA has increased the price target for Amazon (AMZN, Financial) shares to $265 from the previous $248 while maintaining a Buy rating. The adjustment comes as the firm anticipates robust performance in the company’s upcoming second-quarter report, scheduled for Thursday, July 31. Factors influencing this optimistic revision include strong Q2 retail data, favorable foreign exchange conditions, and growth from Anthropic AI.
The firm has set a new Q2 revenue estimate at $164 billion, surpassing the general market expectation of $162 billion. Additionally, the projected profit for the quarter is $17.8 billion, which not only exceeds the upper limit of Amazon's own guidance range of $17.5 billion but also the broader market consensus of $17 billion.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 67 analysts, the average target price for Amazon.com Inc (AMZN, Financial) is $251.34 with a high estimate of $305.00 and a low estimate of $195.00. The average target implies an upside of 10.50% from the current price of $227.47. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 73 brokerage firms, Amazon.com Inc's (AMZN, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 1.7, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Amazon.com Inc (AMZN, Financial) in one year is $189.47, suggesting a downside of 16.71% from the current price of $227.47. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Summary page.
AMZN Key Business Developments
Release Date: May 01, 2025
- Revenue: $155.7 billion, up 10% year-over-year, excluding foreign exchange impact.
- Operating Income: $18.4 billion, up 20% year-over-year.
- Free Cash Flow: $25.9 billion trailing 12-month.
- North America Revenue: $92.9 billion, an increase of 8% year-over-year.
- International Revenue: $33.5 billion, an increase of 8% year-over-year, excluding foreign exchange.
- Advertising Revenue: $13.9 billion, growing 19% year-over-year.
- AWS Revenue: $29.3 billion, an increase of 17% year-over-year.
- AWS Annualized Revenue Run Rate: Over $117 billion.
- Net Income: $17.1 billion, includes a pretax gain of $3.3 billion from investment in Anthropic.
- Capital Expenditure: $24.3 billion in Q1, primarily for technology infrastructure and fulfillment network.
- Q2 Revenue Guidance: Expected between $159 billion and $164 billion.
- Q2 Operating Income Guidance: Expected between $13 billion and $17.5 billion.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Amazon.com Inc (AMZN, Financial) reported a 10% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $155.7 billion, excluding the impact of foreign exchange rates.
- Operating income rose by 20% year-over-year to $18.4 billion, showcasing strong financial performance.
- Amazon Web Services (AWS) achieved a 17% year-over-year growth, reaching a $117 billion annualized revenue run rate.
- The company set new delivery speed records, delivering more items in the same day or next day than any other quarter in its history.
- Amazon's advertising revenue grew by 19% year-over-year, generating $13.9 billion, indicating strong growth in this segment.
Negative Points
- Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) faces uncertainty due to potential heightened tariffs, which could impact pricing and demand.
- The company recorded onetime charges related to historical customer returns and costs to receive inventory pulled forward due to anticipated tariffs.
- AWS capacity constraints are limiting the ability to capture more AI revenue, despite high demand.
- The macroeconomic environment remains complex, with uncertainties around consumer demand and global trade impacting future guidance.
- Stock-based compensation expenses are expected to increase in Q2, impacting operating income.
