S&P 500 Sector Expectations

Author's Avatar
Feb 04, 2009
When comparing the implied sales growth expectations (VE Sales Growth) of each sector to what each sector has historically delivered in sales growth in the past 5 years, the Technology sector looks to have the lowest expectations priced-in. After solving for the implied sales growth for every company within the S&P 500 the entire sector has an average -2% sales growth priced-in. Measuring the spread between a company’s or sector’s VE sales growth expectations to what they have historically delivered will give you a good idea of which company’s have the best chance of meeting or exceeding those expectations and thus be more likely to outperform.


VE Sales Growth – implied sales growth a company needs to generate to justify their current price.



s&p%20500%20sector%20expectations(1).jpg



s&p%20500%20sector%20expectation%20table.jpg