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Adamas Pharmaceuticals (Adamas Pharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-18,588.29 (As of Sep21)


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What is Adamas Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep21, Adamas Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $-18,588.29. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Adamas Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Adamas Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Adamas Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - -20,258.50 -12,161.20 -12,017.50 -21,243.60

Adamas Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18,459.70 -21,243.60 -19,255.60 -16,623.40 -18,588.30

Competitive Comparison of Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Adamas Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Adamas Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 46.19
DDA 1.08
Operating Margin % -165,809.52
SGA * 25% 24.27
Tax Rate % 0.32
Maintenance Capex 0.78
Cash and Cash Equivalents 83.10
Short-Term Debt 4.55
Long-Term Debt 129.58
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 45.62

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -165,809.52%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $46.19 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -165,809.52%, Average Adjusted SGA = 24.27,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 46.19 * -165,809.52% +24.27 = $-76556.842040654 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.32%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-76556.842040654 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -76556.842040654 * ( 1 - 0.32% ) = $-76311.094577703 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.08 * 0.5 * 0.32% = $0.001725375 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -76311.094577703 + 0.001725375 = $-76311.092852328 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.78 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Adamas Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $83.10 Mil.
Adamas Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 129.58 + 4.55 = $134.138 Mil.
Adamas Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 45.62 Mil.

Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -76311.092852328 - 0.78)/ 9%+83.10-134.138 )/45.62
=-18,588.29

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -18588.292158633-8.22 )/-18588.292158633
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Adamas Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:ADMS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Adamas Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Adamas Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Adamas Pharmaceuticals (Adamas Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1900 Powell Street, Suite 1000, Emeryville, CA, USA, 94608
Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc discovers, develops, and sells therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. The company's approved/commercial product is GOCOVRI, an amantadine therapy for the treatment of levodopa-induced dyskinesia in patients with Parkinson's disease. It operates in one reportable segment: the development and commercialization of therapeutics targeting chronic disorders of the central nervous system. The company generates its revenues primarily from the United States.
Executives
Vijay Shreedhar officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O ADAMAS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 1900 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1000 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Christopher B Prentiss officer: Chief Financial Officer 1900 POWELL STREET SUITE 750 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Anna Richo director AMGEN INC., ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
David L Mahoney director SYMANTEC CORPORATION, 20330 STEVENS CREEK BLVD., CUPERTINO CA 95014
Mardi Dier director C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON RD., AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
William W. Ericson director, 10 percent owner 777 MARINERS ISLAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 550, SAN MATEO CA 94404
John A Macphee director C/O ADAMAS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 1900 POWELL ST., SUITE 750 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Ivan M Lieberburg director 11682 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 320, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Michael Bigham director 890 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Martha J Demski director 7770 REGENTS ROAD SUITE 113-505, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Neil F. Mcfarlane officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O RETROPHIN, INC., 12255 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Alfred G Merriweather officer: Chief Financial Officer
Jennifer J Rhodes officer: CBO, GC & Compliance Officer C/O ADAMAS PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1900 POWELL ST., SUITE 750, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Gregory T Went director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ADAMAS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 2200 POWELL ST, STE 220 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Rajiv Patni officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O OCERA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 525 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, SUITE 610, PALO ALTO CA 94301

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