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Clearwire (FRA:CBV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-32.24 (As of Mar13)


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What is Clearwire Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar13, Clearwire's earnings power value is €-32.24. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Clearwire Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Clearwire Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Clearwire Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Clearwire Quarterly Data
Jun08 Sep08 Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13
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Competitive Comparison of Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Clearwire Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Clearwire's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 545.5
DDA 386.7
Operating Margin % -252.75
SGA * 25% 160.6
Tax Rate % 2.51
Maintenance Capex 585.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 615.6
Short-Term Debt 30.5
Long-Term Debt 3,310.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 693.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -252.75%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €545.5 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -252.75%, Average Adjusted SGA = 160.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 545.5 * -252.75% +160.6 = €-1218.125621788 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.51%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €-1218.125621788 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -1218.125621788 * ( 1 - 2.51% ) = €-1187.5750311936 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 386.7 * 0.5 * 2.51% = €4.849651884 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -1187.5750311936 + 4.849651884 = €-1182.7253793096 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Clearwire's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €585.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Clearwire's current cash and cash equivalent = €615.6 Mil.
Clearwire's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3,310.1 + 30.5 = €3340.576 Mil.
Clearwire's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 693.9 Mil.

Clearwire's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar13 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1182.7253793096 - 585.4)/ 9%+615.6-3340.576 )/693.9
=-32.24

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -32.238674926403-3.88 )/-32.238674926403
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Clearwire  (FRA:CBV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Clearwire Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Clearwire (FRA:CBV) Business Description

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Clearwire Corp builds wireless networks intended primarily to provide Internet access to consumers and businesses. The firm was formed in 2008 via the merger of 'Old' Clearwire, a firm founded in 2003 to build wireless networks and certain assets from Sprint Nextel. These assets included wireless spectrum and network equipment that Sprint had intended for use in building wireless networks based on WiMAX, a fairly new wireless standard designed to offer data, rather than phone, services. At the time of Clearwire's creation, it received approx $3.2 billion investment from a group of investors that includes cable companies Comcast, Time Warner Cable, and Bright House Networks and technology firms Google and Intel. These funds will be used to finance network expansion. Sprint owns more than half of Clearwire via its interest in a subsidiary that holds all of Clearwire's assets. Intel is the firm's second largest shareholder, with a 13% stake. Clearwire's networks currently cover territories with a combined population of about 20 million people. Most of these networks were built by the original Clearwire using a pre-standards version of WiMAX technology. All current construction is entirely WiMAX based and Clearwire plans to upgrade older networks to WiMAX over the next two years. The firm owns wireless spectrum capable of covering most of the U.S. population and networks currently under construction will allow it to serve about 75 million people. Clearwire is in the initial stages of building networks covering an addition 45 million people. Wireless services are provided using a wireless modem or PC card, which customers can either buy or lease from the company. Clearwire's Internet access service offers download speeds of up to 2 megabits per second (Mbps) in markets with older technology and 4 Mbps in areas served with WiMAX. The firm markets its service directly to customers and will also resell services through Sprint and its cable investors. Clearwire competes with phone and cable companies for Internet access customers. It also competes with wireless carriers that offer data services over their existing networks. Both AT&T and Verizon Wireless, the two largest carriers in the U.S., have announced plans to deploy networks based on LTE, an alternative next-generation wireless standard that is still in development.

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