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Coherent (Coherent) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $48.29 (As of Mar22)


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What is Coherent Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar22, Coherent's earnings power value is $48.29. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -451.34

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Coherent Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coherent Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Coherent Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.92 56.73 53.92 53.72 49.76

Coherent Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.38 47.58 49.76 48.68 48.29

Competitive Comparison of Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Coherent Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Coherent's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,552
DDA 97
Operating Margin % 10.95
SGA * 25% 72
Tax Rate % 29.12
Maintenance Capex 70
Cash and Cash Equivalents 402
Short-Term Debt 24
Long-Term Debt 459
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 25

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 10.95%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,552 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 10.95%, Average Adjusted SGA = 72,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,552 * 10.95% +72 = $242.243991196 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 29.12%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $242.243991196 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 242.243991196 * ( 1 - 29.12% ) = $171.69527363999 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 97 * 0.5 * 29.12% = $14.116471437 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 171.69527363999 + 14.116471437 = $185.81174507699 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Coherent's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $70 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Coherent's current cash and cash equivalent = $402 Mil.
Coherent's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 459 + 24 = $482.504 Mil.
Coherent's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 25 Mil.

Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 185.81174507699 - 70)/ 9%+402-482.504 )/25
=48.29

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 48.28598136354-266.22 )/48.28598136354
= -451.34%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Coherent  (NAS:COHR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Coherent Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Coherent's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Coherent (Coherent) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5100 Patrick Henry Drive, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054
Coherent Inc supplies photonics-based solutions for commercial and scientific research applications. The firm operates in two segments: OEM Laser Sources and Industrial Lasers & Systems. The OEM Laser Sources segment develops and manufactures products for the microelectronics, scientific research, government, and original equipment manufacturer markets. This business contributes the majority of revenue. The Industrial Lasers & Systems segment makes products for the materials processing, OEM components and instrumentation, and microelectronics markets, with a focus on higher-volume products that are sold in set configurations. The majority of Coherent's revenue is generated outside of the United States.
Executives
Kevin S. Palatnik officer: Chief Financial Officer 2655 SEELY AVENUE, BLDG. 5, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jay T Flatley director 9885 TOWNE CENTRE DR, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Pamela Fletcher director C/O COHERENT, INC., 5100 PATRICK HENRY DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Beverly Kay Matthews director C/O COHERENT, INC., 5100 PATRICK HENRY DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Sandeep Vij director C/O XILINX INC, 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
Michael R. Mcmullen director 5301 STEVENS CREEK BLVD., MS 1A-LC, SANTA CLARA CA 95051
Stephen A Skaggs director 5555 NE MOORE CT., HILLSBORO OR 97124
Andreas W Mattes director, officer: President and CEO C/O DIEBOLD, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR RD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Garry W Rogerson director 3120 HANSEN WAY, PALO ALTO CA 943041030
Mark Stewart Sobey officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer
Bret Dimarco officer: Exec VP & Chief Legal Officer PO BOX 54980 SANTA CLARA CA 95056-0980
Paul F Sechrist officer: EVP Worldwide Sales & Services 5100 PATRICK HENRY DR SANTA CLARA CA 95054
John Ambroseo director, officer: Pres. & CEO
Luis Spinelli officer: Exec VP, CTO P O BOX 54980 SANTA CLARA CA 950560980
Susan M. James director COHERENT, INC., P. O. BOX 54980, SANTA CLARA CA 95056-0980