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Natural Resources Partners LP (Natural Resources Partners LP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $114.27 (As of Dec23)


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What is Natural Resources Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Natural Resources Partners LP's earnings power value is $114.27. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 19.72

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Natural Resources Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natural Resources Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Natural Resources Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.98 50.25 66.77 - 114.27

Natural Resources Partners LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 87.40 95.88 102.80 114.27

Competitive Comparison of Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Natural Resources Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Natural Resources Partners LP's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 231.1
DDA 16.8
Operating Margin % 69.30
SGA * 25% 4.8
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 12.0
Short-Term Debt 30.8
Long-Term Debt 124.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 14.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 69.30%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $231.1 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 69.30%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.8,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 231.1 * 69.30% +4.8 = $164.9485328 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $164.9485328 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 164.9485328 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $164.9485328 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 16.8 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 164.9485328 + 0 = $164.9485328 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Natural Resources Partners LP's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Natural Resources Partners LP's current cash and cash equivalent = $12.0 Mil.
Natural Resources Partners LP's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 124.3 + 30.8 = $155.058 Mil.
Natural Resources Partners LP's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 14.8 Mil.

Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 164.9485328 - 0.0)/ 9%+12.0-155.058 )/14.8
=114.27

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 114.26920888288-91.73 )/114.26920888288
= 19.72%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Natural Resources Partners LP  (NYSE:NRP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Natural Resources Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Natural Resources Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Natural Resources Partners LP (Natural Resources Partners LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1415 Louisiana Street, Suite 3325, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Natural Resources Partners LP is a diversified natural resource company. It is engaged in the business of owning, managing and leasing a diversified portfolio of mineral properties in the United States, including interests in coal, trona and soda ash, crude oil and natural gas, construction aggregates, frac sand, and other natural resources. The company leases coal reserves to experience mine operators under long-term leases that grant the operator the right to mine its coal reserves in exchange for royalty payments. The company operates in two reportable segments namely: Mineral Rights and Soda Ash. the majority of the revenue is generated from the Mineral Rights segment. The business activity of the group functions through the United States.
Executives
Murphy Paul B Jr director OCEANEERING INTERNATIONAL, INC., 11911 FM 529, HOUSTON TX 77041
Philip T Warman officer: General Counsel & Secretary 123 ROBERT S. KERR AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102-6406
Alexander David Greene director 3200 INDUSTRIAL PARK ROAD, VAN BUREN AR 72956
Galdino J. Claro director 350 POPLAR CHURCH ROAD, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Perry W Donahoo officer: CEO of VantaCore 1201 LOUISIANA, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jennifer Lauren Odinet officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1201 LOUISIANA, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Kevin J Craig officer: VP of Business Development PO BOX 2827, HUNTINGTON WV 25727
Jasvinder Khaira director 1201 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 3400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Premium Resources, Llc 10 percent owner 1415 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jackson Leon George Iii director 235 MARLBERRY CIRCLE, JUPITER FL 33458
David M Hartz officer: VP, Oil and Gas 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Richard A Navarre director 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Christopher Zolas officer: Chief Accounting Officer 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Craig W Nunez officer: CFO and Treasurer 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77010
Dennis F Coker officer: Vice President - Aggregates 601 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002