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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Natural Resources Partners LP (NYSE:NRP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
NRP vs NC, BTU, ARLP: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Other Energy Sources Industry
For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Natural Resources Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.62
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Natural Resources Partners LP (NRP) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Aug. 18, 2026.
Is Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Natural Resources Partners LP's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Natural Resources Partners LP has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NC and BTU?
Natural Resources Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Other Energy Sources industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Other Energy Sources company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Other Energy Sources industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Natural Resources Partners LP's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Natural Resources Partners LP stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Resources Partners LP (NRP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $84.85, compared to a current price of $102.86 — trading 21.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Natural Resources Partners LP's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Natural Resources Partners LP (NRP), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Natural Resources Partners LP (NRP) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Resources Partners LP stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $102.86 is trading 21.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $84.85.
GuruFocus considers Natural Resources Partners LP to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for NRP:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: $84.85 vs. price of $102.86 (21.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NRP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Natural Resources Partners LP is a diversified natural resource company. It is engaged in the business of owning, managing and leasing a diversified portfolio of mineral properties in the United States, including interests in coal, trona and soda ash, crude oil and natural gas, construction aggregates, frac sand, and other natural resources. The company leases coal reserves to experience mine operators under long-term leases that grant the operator the right to mine its coal reserves in exchange for royalty payments. The company operates in two reportable segments namely: Mineral Rights and Soda Ash. The majority of the revenue is generated from the Mineral Rights segment. Geographically, the company's business activity of the group functions through the United States.
63GF Score
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