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Eagle Materials (Eagle Materials) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $67.42 (As of Dec23)


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What is Eagle Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Eagle Materials's earnings power value is $67.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -280.75

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Eagle Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Eagle Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Eagle Materials Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.71 1.10 28.54 36.24 45.63

Eagle Materials Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.65 45.63 50.48 58.97 67.42

Competitive Comparison of Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Building Materials subindustry, Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Eagle Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Eagle Materials's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,807
DDA 130
Operating Margin % 24.77
SGA * 25% 13
Tax Rate % 17.45
Maintenance Capex 90
Cash and Cash Equivalents 49
Short-Term Debt 18
Long-Term Debt 1,043
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 35

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 24.77%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,807 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 24.77%, Average Adjusted SGA = 13,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,807 * 24.77% +13 = $460.998823674 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 17.45%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $460.998823674 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 460.998823674 * ( 1 - 17.45% ) = $380.55222394877 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 130 * 0.5 * 17.45% = $11.3758238955 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 380.55222394877 + 11.3758238955 = $391.92804784427 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Eagle Materials's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $90 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Eagle Materials's current cash and cash equivalent = $49 Mil.
Eagle Materials's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,043 + 18 = $1061.384 Mil.
Eagle Materials's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 35 Mil.

Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 391.92804784427 - 90)/ 9%+49-1061.384 )/35
=67.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 67.418886600885-256.70 )/67.418886600885
= -280.75%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Eagle Materials  (NYSE:EXP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Eagle Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Eagle Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Eagle Materials (Eagle Materials) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5960 Berkshire Lane, Suite 900, Dallas, TX, USA, 75225
Eagle Materials Inc produces and sells construction products and building materials. Construction products include cement, slag, concrete, and aggregates and building materials include gypsum wallboard, and are sold to the construction and building industries. Basic materials used for oil and natural gas extraction include frac sand and oil well cement. The firm organizes itself into two sectors: Heavy Materials, which includes the Cement and Concrete and Aggregates segments, and Light Materials, which includes the Gypsum Wallboard and Recycled Paperboard segments.
Executives
Eric Cribbs officer: Executive Vice President 5960 BERKSHIRE LN, SUITE 800, DALLAS TX 75225
Matt Newby officer: EVP & General Counsel 5960 BERKSHIRE LN, SUITE 900, DALLAS TX 75225
Richard Ross Stewart director 2707 N LOOP WEST 9TH FL, HOUSTON TX 77008
Dale Craig Kesler officer: EVP and CFO 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Michael Haack director, officer: President & CEO 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Robert S Stewart officer: EVP-Strategy & Corp. Develop. C/O EAGLE MATERIALS INC., 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
William R Devlin officer: Vice President & Controller C/O EAGLE MATERIALS INC., 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Tony Thompson officer: Senior Vice President 5960 BERKSHIRE LN, SUITE 800, DALLAS TX 75225
George John Damiris director 100 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75201
David B Powers officer: Executive Vice President C/O EAGLE MATERIALS INC., 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75201
Steven L Wentzel officer: President (American Gypsum) 5960 BERKSHIRE LN #800, DALLAS TX 75225
Bowman Ed H Jr director C/O F.Y.I. INC, 3232 MCKINNEY AVE STE 900, DALLAS TX 75204
James H Graass officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O EAGLE MATERIALS INC., 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Martin M Ellen director 5960 BERKSHIRE LN, SUITE 900, DALLAS TX 75225
Mauro Gregorio director 2211 H.H. DOW WAY, MIDLAND MI 48674