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Rise Gold (Rise Gold) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-0.02 (As of Jan24)


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What is Rise Gold Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, Rise Gold's earnings power value is $-0.02. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Rise Gold Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rise Gold Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Rise Gold Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.35 -0.92 -0.87 -0.48 -

Rise Gold Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.49 -0.51 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Gold subindustry, Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Rise Gold Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Rise Gold's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.02
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.54
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.57
Short-Term Debt 1.62
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 44.64

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.54,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +0.54 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.02 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Rise Gold's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Rise Gold's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.57 Mil.
Rise Gold's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 1.62 = $1.617 Mil.
Rise Gold's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 44.64 Mil.

Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+0.57-1.617 )/44.64
=-0.02

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.023478806344655-0.16072 )/-0.023478806344655
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Rise Gold  (OTCPK:RYES) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Rise Gold Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rise Gold's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Rise Gold (Rise Gold) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
669 Howe Street, Suite 650, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 0B4
Rise Gold Corp is a mineral exploration stage mining company and its primary asset is a major past producing Idaho-Maryland Gold Mine property near Grass Valley, California, United States. The Company conducts its business in one geographical segment located in California, United States, where all of its equipment and mineral property interests are located.
Executives
Clynton R. Nauman director C/O NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC., 201 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Mullin Joseph E Iii officer: President and CEO C/O RISE GOLD CORP., SUITE 215, 333 CROWN POINT CIRCLE, GRASS VALLEY CA 95945
Lawrence Ward Lepard director, 10 percent owner 211 GROVE STREET, WELLESLEY MA 02482
Daniel Jr Oliver 10 percent owner 713 SILVERMINE ROAD, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Vince Boon officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SOUTHERN ARC MINERALS INC., SUITE 650, 669 HOWE STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 0B4
John Proust director C/O SOUTHERN ARC MINERALS INC., SUITE 650, 669 HOWE STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 0B4
V B S Exchange Pty Ltd 10 percent owner LEVEL 12, 644 CHAPEL ST, SOUTH YARRA C3 3141
Murray Guinn Flanigan director SUITE 602 - 1088 WEST 14TH AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6H 0A6
Thomas I. Vehrs director 6833 YAMPA DRIVE, LARKSPUR CO 80118
Benjamin Mossman director, officer: CEO 488 - 1090 WEST GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3V7
V B S Investments Pty Ltd 10 percent owner LEVEL 12, 644 CHAPEL ST, SOUTH YARRA C3 3141
Southern Arc Minerals Inc 10 percent owner 650-669 HOWE STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 0B4
Brian Cale Thomas director, officer: CFO 488 - 1090 WEST GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3V7
Bradley Scharfe director, 10 percent owner 488 - 1090 WEST GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3V7
Alan R Edwards director, officer: Chairman of the Board 8121 N. FAIRWAY VIEW DR., TUCSON AZ 85742

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