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V2X (VVX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-293.61 (As of Dec23)


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What is V2X Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, V2X's earnings power value is $-293.61. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


V2X Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

V2X Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

V2X Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.59 40.20 48.25 -272.27 -293.61

V2X Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -272.27 -281.07 -278.73 -282.83 -293.61

Competitive Comparison of V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



V2X Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

V2X's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,283
DDA 41
Operating Margin % 3.04
SGA * 25% 35
Tax Rate % 973.48
Maintenance Capex 12
Cash and Cash Equivalents 73
Short-Term Debt 29
Long-Term Debt 1,135
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 31

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.04%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,283 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.04%, Average Adjusted SGA = 35,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,283 * 3.04% +35 = $104.772702105 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 973.48%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $104.772702105 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 104.772702105 * ( 1 - 973.48% ) = $-915.16755061973 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 41 * 0.5 * 973.48% = $200.649597564 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -915.16755061973 + 200.649597564 = $-714.51795305573 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
V2X's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $12 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. V2X's current cash and cash equivalent = $73 Mil.
V2X's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,135 + 29 = $1163.965 Mil.
V2X's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 31 Mil.

V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -714.51795305573 - 12)/ 9%+73-1163.965 )/31
=-293.61

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -293.61442857703-50.06 )/-293.61442857703
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


V2X  (NYSE:VVX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


V2X Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of V2X's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


V2X (VVX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7901 Jones Branch Drive, Suite 700, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
V2X Inc is a U.S.-based company that provides services to the U.S. government. It operates as one segment and offers facility and logistics services and information technology mission support and engineering and digital integration services. The information technology and network communications capabilities consist of communications systems operations and maintenance, management and service support, systems installation and activation, system-of-systems engineering and software development, and mission support for the department of defense. The facility and logistics service include airfield management, ammunition management, civil engineering, communications, emergency services, life support activities, public works, security, transportation operations, and others.
Executives
William Boyd Noon officer: CVP, Chief Accounting Officer 150 FIELD DRIVE, SUITE 250, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Kevin T Boyle officer: SVP, CLO & General Counsel 2424 GARDEN OF THE GODS ROAD, COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80919
Michael James Smith officer: See Remarks C/O VECTRUS, INC., 2424 GARDEN OF THE GODS ROAD, SUITE 300, COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80919
Shawn Mural officer: Senior Vice President and CFO 15197 CARVER COURT, WATERFORD VA 20197
Josephine F. Bjornson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 7901 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 700, MCLEAN VA 22102
Abbas Elegba director 7901 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 700, MCLEAN VA 22102
Dino M Cusumano director C/O REV GROUP, INC., 111 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, SUITE 2600, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Aipcf Vi Vertex Aerospace Funding Lp 10 percent owner C/O AIP 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 40TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Aipcf Vi, Llc 10 percent owner 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 40TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Lightship Capital Llc 10 percent owner 330 MADISON AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Stephen L Waechter director 1100 N GLEBE ROAD, ARLINGTON VA 22201
Eric M Pillmore director C/O TYCO INTERNATIONAL (US) INC, 9 WEST 57TH ST 43RD FL., NEW YORK NY 10019
Joel M. Rotroff director C/O REV GROUP, INC., 111 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, SUITE 2600, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Neil Snyder director C/O GARDNER DENVER HOLDINGS, INC., 222 EAST ERIE STREET, SUITE 500, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
American Industrial Partners Capital Fund Vi, L.p. 10 percent owner 330 MADISON AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017