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AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition (AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition  (NYSE:AFTR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition (AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
301 Commerce Street, Suite 3300, City Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76102
Website
AfterNext HealthTech Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Jon Winkelried director, 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Tpg Gp A, Llc director, 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
R Halsey Wise director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 135 PONTE VEDRA BLVD, PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL 32082
Julie L. Gerberding director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
David Bonderman director, 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James G Coulter director, 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Tpg Group Holdings (sbs) Advisors, Inc. director, 10 percent owner C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Jeffrey K. Rhodes director C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Christopher H. Hunter director 500 W MAIN STREET, LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Bharat Sundaram director 100 NORTH POINT CENTER EAST, SUITE 200, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Martin Davidson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TPG PACE ENERGY HOLDINGS CORP., 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Nehal Raj director C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Anthony Jr Colaluca director, officer: President MULTIPLAN CORPORATION, 115 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10003
William Joseph Miller director 4800 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 6000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Agneta G. Breitenstein director C/OAFTERNEXT HEALTHTECH ACQUISITION CORP, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102

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