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Assurant (Assurant) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Assurant  (NYSE:AIZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Assurant (Assurant) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Assurant Inc (NYSE:AIZ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
260 Interstate North Circle SE, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30339
Assurant Inc offers a range of property-casualty, health, employee benefit, and warranty insurance to a client base made up of individuals and institutions. Its segments are Global Housing, Global Lifestyle, Corporate and Other. Global Housing provides lender-placed homeowners insurance, lender-placed manufactured housing insurance and lender-placed flood insurance; renters insurance and related products; and voluntary manufactured housing insurance, voluntary homeowners insurance and other specialty products. Global Lifestyle, the key revenue-generating segment, provides mobile device solutions and extended service products and related services for mobile devices, consumer electronics and appliances; vehicle protection; and credit protection and other insurance products.
Executives
Jay Rosenblum officer: EVP and CLO C/O ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY ST, 41ST FL., NEW YORK NY 10005
Dimitry Dirienzo officer: SVP, CAO, Controller C/O ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 F., NEW YORK NY 10005
Richard S Dziadzio officer: EVP, CFO, and Treasurer C/O ALLIANCE CAPITAL, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Francesca Luthi officer: EVP, CAO 1180 NORTH TOWN CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100, LAS VEGAS NV 89144
Robert Lonergan officer: EVP, other: Chief Strategy Officer C/O ASSURANT, INC.,28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Rajiv Basu director C/O ASSURANT, INC., 260 INTERSTATE NORTH CIRCLE, S.E., ATLANTA GA 30339
Sari Beth Granat director C/O MARKIT LTD, 4TH FL, ROPEMAKER PLACE, 25 ROPEMAKER STREET, LONDON X0 EC2Y 9LY
Keith Meier officer: EVP, COO C/O ASSURANT, INC., 55 BROADWAY, SUITE 2901, NEW YORK NY 10006
Alan B. Colberg officer: EVP, Marketing & Bus. Dev. ASSURANT, INC., ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL., NEW YORK NY 10005
Gene Mergelmeyer officer: Executive Vice President, other: Pres., Assur. Spec. Property ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Carter J Braxton Ii director C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Charles John Koch director CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP, INC., 600 WASHINGTON BLVD., CS119N, STAMFORD CT 06901
Tammy L. Schultz officer: EVP C/O ASSURANT, INC.,28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Paget Leonard Alves director SPRINT NEXTEL, 6200 SPRINT PARKWAY KSOPHF0410 - 4A403, OVERLAND PARK KS 66251
Ognjen Redzic director C/O ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FL., NEW YORK NY 10005

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