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Alphatec Holdings (Alphatec Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Alphatec Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alphatec Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Alphatec Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Alphatec Holdings  (NAS:ATEC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Alphatec Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Alphatec Holdings (Alphatec Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1950 Camino Vida Roble, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008
Alphatec Holdings Inc is a medical technology company focused on the design, development, and advancement of products for the surgical treatment of spinal disorders associated with disease and degeneration, congenital deformities, and trauma. The company's spine approach technologies include Posterior Cervical Fusion, Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion, Lateral Interbody Fusion, and Posterior Lumbar Interbody Fusion among others.
Executives
David Sponsel officer: EVP, Sales C/O ALPHATEC SPINE, INC., 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008
David M Demski director C/O GLOBUS MEDICAL, INC., 2560 GENERAL ARMISTEAD AVENUE, AUDUBON PA 19403
Patrick Miles director, officer: Executive Chairman 7475 LUSK BLVD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Tullis James L L director, 10 percent owner 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06907
David H Mowry director 9775 TOLEDO, IRVINE CA 92618
Evan Bakst director 225 CENTRAL PARK WEST, APT. 1605, NEW YORK NY 10024
Jennifer N. Pritzker 10 percent owner C/O SQUADRON CAPITAL LLC, 104 S. MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 500, CHICAGO IL 60603
Tyson Eliot Marshall officer: GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP. SEC. 10680 TREENA STREET, SUITE 500, SAN DIEGO CA 92131
Craig E Hunsaker officer: See Remarks C/O ALPHATEC HOLDINGS, INC., 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Elizabeth Ann Altman director 10070 BARNES CANYON ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Paul Segal 10 percent owner 1700 BROADWAY, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
L-5 Healthcare Partners, Llc 10 percent owner, other: Director by deputization 1700 BROADWAY, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
John Todd Koning officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
David R Pelizzon director, 10 percent owner 2850 FRONTIER DR, WARSAW IN 46582
Scott Lish officer: SVP, Development C/O ALPHATEC SPINE, INC., 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008