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AvePoint (AvePoint) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is AvePoint Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AvePoint's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



AvePoint Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.33

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


AvePoint  (NAS:AVPT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


AvePoint Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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AvePoint (AvePoint) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » AvePoint Inc (NAS:AVPT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
525 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1400, Jersey City, NJ, USA, 07310
AvePoint Inc is a Microsoft 365 data management solutions provider, offering a full suite of SaaS solutions to migrate, manage and protect data. Its products include Cloud Products, Hybrid Products; and solutions include Data Protection, Operational Governance, Records & Information Management, Microsoft Teams, SharePoint Online, Exchange Online, OneDrive for Business, Project Online, Planner, Yammer, and Public Folders.
Executives
Brian Michael Brown director, officer: COO and General Counsel C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Sixth Street Partners Management Company, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O SIXTH STREET PARTNERS, LLC, 2100 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1500, DALLAS TX 75201
Alan Waxman 10 percent owner C/O SIXTH STREET PARTNERS, LLC, 345 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 2600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Janet Schijns director 901 E BYRD STREET, SUITE 900, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, RICHMOND VA 23219
Sophia Wu officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Tianyi Jiang director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Xunkai Gong director, 10 percent owner, other: Executive Chairman C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
James Caci officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BLVD., SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Zhijian Lu 10 percent owner C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BLVD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Ho John Chi On director C/O JANCHOR PARTNERS, ONE EXCHANGE SQUARE, CENTRAL K3 1608
Jeff Teper director C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Andy Yong officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O AVEPOINT, INC., 525 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310
Stephen Cuunjieng director 1155 KAS DRIVE SUITE 100, RICHARDSON TX 75081
David K Chao director 2420 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Peter W Bell director