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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Bio Essence (OTCPK:BIOE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Bio Essence Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
BIOE vs BFRI, APUS, CABR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Bio Essence Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Bio Essence Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-53.00
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Bio Essence (BIOE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 14, 2026.
Is Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Bio Essence's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Bio Essence has a GF Score™ of 31/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BFRI and APUS?
Bio Essence's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bio Essence's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bio Essence stock overvalued right now?
Bio Essence (BIOE) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Bio Essence's overall GF Score™ is 31/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bio Essence (BIOE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Bio Essence Corp is an herbal health, diet, and nutrition company. The Company's mission is to provide herbal health, diet, and vitamin nutritional supplements. The primary focus of BEP was producing products for BEH and McBE, along with providing original equipment manufacturing and private label services to other companies. BEH targeted and developed traditional Chinese medicines (TCM) in the form of single herbs, granules, pills, and tablets. It also offered specially formulated dietary supplements and medical food. The Company operates in one business and industry segment: the manufacture / OEM and sale of health supplement products. The group's products are RED Yeast Rice Plus, Regenva, MediDrink, and Nufargo.
31GF Score
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