Retro Green Revolution (BOM:519191) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jul. 29, 2026)

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Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BOM:519191 Retro Green Revolution Ltd BOM:519191
60 GF Score
Price ₹1.43
GF Value ₹1.30
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Retro Green Revolution Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Retro Green Revolution BOM:519191 60 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOM:519191 with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹1.30 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Retro Green Revolution  (BOM:519191) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Retro Green Revolution Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


BOM:519191 vs CAT, DE, PCAR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Retro Green Revolution Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BOM:519191
60GF Score
Retro Green Revolution Ltd BOM:519191
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Retro Green Revolution Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Retro Green Revolution (BOM:519191) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jul. 29, 2026.
Is Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Retro Green Revolution's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Retro Green Revolution has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CAT and DE?
Retro Green Revolution's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Retro Green Revolution's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Retro Green Revolution stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Retro Green Revolution (BOM:519191) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹1.30, compared to a current price of ₹1.43 — trading 10% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Retro Green Revolution's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Retro Green Revolution (BOM:519191), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Retro Green Revolution (BOM:519191) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Retro Green Revolution stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₹1.43 is trading 10% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹1.30. GuruFocus considers Retro Green Revolution to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BOM:519191:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: ₹1.30 vs. price of ₹1.43 (10% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOM:519191 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Retro Green Revolution Business Description

Address Prahlad Nagar Trade Centre, 610, 6th Floor, Block No. F, Vejalpur, Ahmedabad, GJ, IND, 380001
Retro Green Revolution Ltd is providing agricultural solutions for both Urban and Rural segments. It is a provider of Green House, Net House, and Poly House gases. It offers a complete solution to the farming community and specializes in the agriculture field with the latest technology and farming methods. Other services offered by the company include assistance in soil (Mineral and Microbes) and water testing, greenhouse structure installation, greenhouse high-tech agriculture consultancy services, greenhouse production management, drip and sprinkler irrigation systems, post-harvest infrastructure, technical inputs, training to manpower, and assistance in marketing and buyback arrangements.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOM:519191

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹1.43
Price
₹1.30
GF Value