Natraj Proteins (BOM:530119) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


BOM:530119 Natraj Proteins Ltd BOM:530119
43 GF Score
Price ₹38.40
GF Value ₹29.07
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Natraj Proteins Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Natraj Proteins BOM:530119 +3.78% 43 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOM:530119 with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹29.07 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Natraj Proteins's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Natraj Proteins  (BOM:530119) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Natraj Proteins Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


BOM:530119 vs KHC, GIS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Natraj Proteins's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natraj Proteins Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natraj Proteins's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natraj Proteins's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


BOM:530119
43GF Score
Natraj Proteins Ltd BOM:530119
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Natraj Proteins Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Natraj Proteins (BOM:530119) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jul. 02, 2026.
Is Natraj Proteins' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Natraj Proteins' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Natraj Proteins has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Natraj Proteins' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KHC and GIS?
Natraj Proteins' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Natraj Proteins's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Natraj Proteins stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natraj Proteins (BOM:530119) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹29.07, compared to a current price of ₹38.40 — trading 32.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Natraj Proteins' overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Natraj Proteins (BOM:530119), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Natraj Proteins (BOM:530119) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natraj Proteins stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₹38.40 is trading 32.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹29.07. GuruFocus considers Natraj Proteins to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BOM:530119:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: ₹29.07 vs. price of ₹38.40 (32.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOM:530119 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Natraj Proteins Business Description

Address Nagpur Kalan, Ordinance Factory Road, District Hoshangabad, Itarsi, MP, IND, 461111
Natraj Proteins Ltd produces and sells edible oil and related products through solvent extraction of soybeans. Its portfolio includes soybean oil, fats, de-oiled cakes, acid oil, fatty acids, and byproducts such as soya husk. Company is dealing in the two business segment activities i.e., Solvent Extraction including Rice Milling and Commodity Trading. Commodity segment is engaged in wholesale trading of cereals and pulses, including rice, wheat, moong dal, and gram. Operating from its manufacturing facility in Itarsi, Madhya Pradesh, India, Natraj Proteins generates majority revenue through the production and sale of edible oils and agricultural commodities, serving the food industry and related markets.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOM:530119

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹38.40
Price
₹29.07
GF Value