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BRBR (BellRing Brands) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is BellRing Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BellRing Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BellRing Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.25

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BellRing Brands  (NYSE:BRBR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BellRing Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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BellRing Brands Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2503 S. Hanley Road, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63144
BellRing Brands Inc is a United States-based company engaged in providing nutrition-related products. Its brands, Premier Protein, Dymatize, and PowerBar provides various products including ready-to-drink protein shakes, powders and nutrition bars. The company's products are distributed through a diverse network of channels including club, food, drug and mass, eCommerce, convenience and specialty.
Executives
Robert V Vitale director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Elliot Jr Stein director C/ COMMONWEALTH CAPITAL PARTNERS, 444 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Chonda J Nwamu director 1901 CHOUTEAU AVENUE, P.O. BOX 66149, ST. LOUIS MO 63166-6149
Thomas P Erickson director C/O BELLRING BRANDS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Jennifer Kuperman Johnson director C/O BELLRING BRANDS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Douglas J Cornille officer: Chief Growth Officer 1222 67TH STREET, SUITE 210, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Craig L Rosenthal officer: SVP, GC & SECRETARY 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robin Singh officer: SVP, OPERATIONS OF PNC 1222 67TH STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Darcy Horn Davenport director, officer: PRES. AND CEO 1222 67TH STREET, SUITE 210, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Paul A Rode officer: CFO 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Marc S Mollere officer: SVP, INTERNATIONAL C/O BELLRING BRANDS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY RD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Post Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Jeff A Zadoks director 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Diedre J Gray director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robert L Partin officer: SVP, SALES OF PNC 1222 67TH STREET, SUITE 210, EMERYVILLE CA 94608