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BRT Apartments (BRT Apartments) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is BRT Apartments Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BRT Apartments's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BRT Apartments Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.50

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BRT Apartments  (NYSE:BRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BRT Apartments Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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BRT Apartments (BRT Apartments) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » BRT Apartments Corp (NYSE:BRT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
60 Cutter Mill Road, Suite 303, Great Neck, NY, USA, 11021
BRT Apartments Corp is a real estate investment trust company. The company is primarily focused on the ownership, operation, and development of multi-family properties. BRT also owns and operates other real estate assets. All of the Company's assets are comprised of multi-family real estate assets generally leased to tenants on a one-year basis.
Executives
Ryan Baltimore officer: Senior Vice President 60 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Mitchell Gould officer: VICE PRESIDENT
Gould Investors L P 10 percent owner 60 CUTTER MILL RD, STE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021-3190
Jeffrey Gould officer: PRESIDENT AND CE0
Matthew J Gould director, officer: Senior Vice President
Mark H Lundy officer: VICE PRESIDENT
Isaac Kalish officer: Assistant Treasurer 60 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Louis C Grassi director 220 RXR PLAZA, UNIONDALE NY 11556
Carol Cicero director 516 TOWER TRACE, CANTON GA 30115
George Zweier officer: VICE PRESIDENT - CFO
Jonathan H Simon director 1020 PARK AVENUE, APARTMENT 10D, NEW YORK NY 10028
Jeffrey Rubin director 40 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 302, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Fredric H Gould director, officer: Chairman of Board 60 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Steven Rosenzweig officer: Vice President 60 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Alysa Block officer: Treasurer 60 CUTTER MILL ROAD, SUITE 303, GREAT NECK NY 11021