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Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (Blackstone Secured Lending Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Secured Lending Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blackstone Secured Lending Fund  (NYSE:BXSL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (Blackstone Secured Lending Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. The investment objectives of the company are to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, long-term capital appreciation. The company seeks to achieve its investment objectives primarily through originated loans and other securities, including syndicated loans, of private U.S. companies, typically in the form of first lien senior secured and unitranche loans, and unsecured and subordinated loans and other debt and equity securities.
Executives
Oran Ebel officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Carlos Whitaker officer: President 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Edward Desloge officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Kris Corbett officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Matthew Alcide officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Stacy Wang officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jonathan Bock officer: See Remarks BARINGS LLC, 300 SOUTH TRYON STREET, SUITE 2500, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Brad Marshall officer: CEO, other: Trustee 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Katherine Rubenstein officer: Chief Operating Officer 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Kevin Jr. Kresge officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
William J Renahan officer: See Remarks 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Abby Miller officer: See Remarks C/O BLACKROCK CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP, 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michelle Greene other: Trustee 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
David Henry Goldberg officer: See Remarks 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Robert J Bass other: Trustee C/O GROUPON, INC., 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 620, CHICAGO IL 60654

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