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Cabaletta Bio (Cabaletta Bio) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Cabaletta Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cabaletta Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cabaletta Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.55

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cabaletta Bio  (NAS:CABA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cabaletta Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cabaletta Bio (Cabaletta Bio) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2929 Arch Street, Suite 600, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19104
Cabaletta Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of engineered T cell therapies, and exploring their potential to provide a deep and durable, perhaps curative, treatment, for patients with B cell-mediated autoimmune diseases. Its proprietary technology utilizes Chimeric AutoAntibody Receptor, or CAART cells that are designed to selectively bind and eliminate only specific B cells that produce disease-causing autoantibodies, or pathogenic B cells, while sparing normal B cells. Its CABA platform encompasses two strategies CARTA (chimeric antigen receptor T cells for autoimmunity) and CAART (chimeric autoantibody T cells) has the potential to be applied across a broad range of autoimmune diseases.
Executives
Gwendolyn Binder officer: EVP, Science & Technology C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Shawn Tomasello director C/O PHARMACYCLICS, INC, 995 EAST ARQUES AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94085
Steven Nichtberger director, officer: President & CEO C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Catherine Bollard director C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Anup Marda officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Mark Simon director C/O AMICUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6 CEDAR BROOK DRIVE, CRANBURY NJ 08512
Arun Das officer: Chief Business Officer C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
5am Ventures V, L.p. 10 percent owner 2200 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 110, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Michael Gerard officer: General Counsel C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Scott C. Brun director C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
5am Opportunities I, L.p. 10 percent owner 501 SECOND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Opportunities I (gp), Llc 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
James E Flynn 10 percent owner, other: Possible Member of 10% Group 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Redmile Group, Llc 10 percent owner ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, SUITE D3-300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Brian Daniels director BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY, ROUTE 206 & PROVINCELINE ROAD, LAWRENCEVILLE NJ 08543